NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24eeea44d5c77a3d15e2e394069015d8787dceef1b4a5f71163a155dc77875ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Panthers, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6cf…fdc5backed Panthers | 52c | 72,025$37,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,453 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…67c0backed Capitals | 48c | 72,025$34,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,453 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 50c | 7,659$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.13 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Capitals | 55c | 7,518$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.16 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 40c | 6,183$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.32 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 47c | 6,066$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.02 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Panthers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Capitals | 49c | 3,054$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Capitals | 52c | 2,907$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.35 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Capitals | 49c | 2,744$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.53 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Capitals | 70c | 2,282$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.84 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Capitals | 48c | 2,011$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Capitals | 48c | 1,881$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Panthers | 50c | 1,741$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.04 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.17 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Panthers | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.87 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 34c | 1,247$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.68 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Panthers | 50c | 1,012$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.56 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Capitals | 48c | 1,004$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.31 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Capitals | 48c | 824.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.16 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…de50backed Capitals | 74c | 760.73$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Capitals | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Capitals | 48c | 699.85$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.92 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…82c0backed Capitals | 50c | 535$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…1c9abacked Panthers | 50c | 535$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Capitals | 55c | 514.12$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.35 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Capitals | 50c | 513.06$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.53 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Panthers | 45c | 500.12$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.05 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Capitals | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Panthers | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Capitals | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Panthers | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 51c | 378$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.89 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf2…75a4backed Panthers | 5c | 363.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Capitals | 48c | 347.51$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.86 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Panthers | 50c | 333$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 48c | 332$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers | 52c | 315.27$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Capitals | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Capitals | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…f1a2backed Capitals | 50c | 277$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…f342backed Panthers | 50c | 277$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e0…d53ebacked Panthers | 50c | 275$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08a…3358backed Capitals | 50c | 275$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Capitals | 51c | 272.78$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.73 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a3…6b01backed Capitals | 50c | 269$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…df88backed Panthers | 50c | 269$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Capitals | 49c | 249.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Panthers | 18c | 200.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Panthers | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Panthers | 51c | 176$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Capitals | 47c | 168$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.21 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Capitals | 51c | 126.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Panthers | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Panthers | 52c | 111.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Capitals | 71c | 108$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa2…9fe2backed Capitals | 49c | 106.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad2…429dbacked Capitals | 48c | 105.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…5642backed Capitals | 48c | 105.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…2b8dbacked Capitals | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Capitals | 48c | 103.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…4b22backed Panthers | 53c | 102.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827e…dd09backed Panthers | 53c | 100.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b44…f8b9backed Panthers | 53c | 100.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…a86abacked Capitals | 52c | 100.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Capitals | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Panthers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Panthers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Capitals | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Panthers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…4621backed Panthers | 53c | 99.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…7c5fbacked Capitals | 48c | 96.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 48c | 95.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Capitals | 48c | 94.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…92efbacked Panthers | 53c | 92.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…51d5backed Capitals | 49c | 92.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092d…8756backed Panthers | 53c | 90.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…fc59backed Panthers | 53c | 86.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…2cbbbacked Capitals | 49c | 81.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Panthers | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Capitals | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…1b88backed Panthers | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…ca9cbacked Capitals | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Capitals | 51c | 68.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Panthers | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…d6a7backed Panthers | 23c | 64.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Panthers | 49c | 57.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…129fbacked Capitals | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals | 49c | 49.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Capitals | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Capitals | 52c | 48.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…39b7backed Capitals | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Panthers | 51c | 46.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 653 | 45%294 W · 359 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Capitals | 50c | 43.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…82f5backed Panthers | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Panthers | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Panthers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.