TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Pacers, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers13c25,376$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.493,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder76c21,010$15,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,045.447848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Thunder80c17,091$13,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.23652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers15c10,000$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.7180146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ea…b635backed Pacers21c9,718$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.731258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5851…7fb6backed Pacers12c8,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers24c8,400$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0161,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Thunder73c6,500$4,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7751,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pacers21c5,152$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.8137734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pacers19c5,134$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3846928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Thunder80c4,800$3,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97128341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Thunder77c4,399$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.779572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd46a…5adbbacked Thunder76c4,298$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.651457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Pacers23c4,252$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.9615741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Pacers5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Pacers20c3,888$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.559450%47 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers20c3,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70029643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pacers25c3,114$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.1129957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Pacers12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Thunder79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder78c2,574$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.7873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pacers24c2,390$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Thunder74c2,340$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61328347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers30c2,029$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.8270640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Thunder77c1,815$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.2630061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Thunder79c1,774$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.5233931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Pacers18c1,648$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…e0aebacked Thunder77c1,647$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.821957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thunder78c1,561$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.4157760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Pacers12c1,534$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4831125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Thunder80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers3c1,450$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.58783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Thunder78c1,411$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.4130351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers21c1,024$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74be…4e55backed Thunder79c1,019$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.061080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Thunder76c1,006$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2934644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c3…4d61backed Thunder77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2305347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Pacers22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Pacers20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pacers20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Thunder70c997.43$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.4334852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Pacers29c982.43$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5547229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Thunder75c703.63$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9117256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pacers14c627.36$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5866853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Thunder79c599.94$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9945743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder80c504.76$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.959868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2388…a491backed Pacers24c486.47$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Pacers22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pacers24c416$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Pacers26c409.43$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3436747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Thunder80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pacers19c369.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.371747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Pacers22c353.17$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Pacers4c343.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3110018%18 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers24c321.06$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.425,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f61…dd43backed Pacers24c308.33$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7414447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pacers20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6072341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd85…26c6backed Pacers22c277.27$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6114343.4%62 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6072…fb46backed Thunder80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509543.2%41 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked Pacers25c239.77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6111352.2%59 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Pacers21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Pacers22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Pacers21c226.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4930351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc3…3febbacked Thunder78c200.33$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.938373.5%61 W · 22 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Pacers22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4495848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Pacers26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5222939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Pacers5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Pacers10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206918.8%13 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Pacers7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1437011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Thunder78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4423658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Pacers18c199.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3640726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b91…6f8ebacked Pacers22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011043.6%48 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc182…b720backed Pacers22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405332.1%17 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pacers19c174.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1485347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Thunder75c166.11$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9129450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Pacers24c165$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.673445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed Thunder79c164.09$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.468252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Thunder78c160.25$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2533348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Thunder79c156.64$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8928063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Pacers24c138$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Thunder76c132.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1127348.7%133 W · 140 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1385…5077backed Pacers22c130.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a27…f384backed Thunder77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.875072%36 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4dd3backed Pacers24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013647.8%65 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3be9…8cd1backed Pacers25c112$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2812354.5%67 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Pacers22c103.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8371823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Pacers19c102.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024846.4%115 W · 133 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Pacers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024336.2%88 W · 155 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x615e…b526backed Thunder80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pacers20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2085542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…10d6backed Thunder62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Thunder72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2820443.6%89 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e39…a802backed Pacers21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c02…b4d4backed Pacers18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1833639%131 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa15a…58fcbacked Pacers22c93.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.654647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb07…3245backed Pacers22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013243.9%58 W · 74 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1650…3adabacked Pacers23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick33cpaid-87.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c37…9e0cbacked Thunder79c82.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.284557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.