TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Liberty vs. Oregon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oregonof Liberty, Oregon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,454 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Oregon75c55,425$41,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,898.748644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a5…f9babacked Liberty27c47,621$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0008143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Liberty23c46,313$10,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,524.957912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Oregon74c13,890$10,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,623.132634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Oregon73c11,372$8,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,070.337936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed Oregon73c7,514$5,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.883351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Oregon72c5,850$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,63853057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Liberty25c4,901$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.759833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd4fb…239abacked Liberty27c4,808$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Oregon73c3,945$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.0342948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Oregon76c2,083$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Oregon72c1,885$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.959641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Liberty25c1,845$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.3516842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Liberty25c1,700$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.648232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Liberty25c1,690$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.518850%94 W · 94 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa63…c12fbacked Liberty1c1,540$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Oregon76c1,298$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.055527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Oregon76c1,238$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.082040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Liberty27c1,099$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3238…323cbacked Liberty26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7552…320dbacked Oregon73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3447…3495backed Liberty27c996$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.921050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Liberty8c963.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.894632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1186…051bbacked Oregon75c918.35$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Liberty25c840.53$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1310335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Liberty25c837.96$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.461,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oregon74c787$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.642,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Liberty26c750$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Liberty26c548.52$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.626934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54df…3449backed Oregon74c520$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Oregon76c436.87$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8855657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Oregon74c397$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.223158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Liberty26c384.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x755c…7741backed Liberty26c384.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7c…f1a6backed Liberty27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Liberty27c370$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.94035%14 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4cc…de2dbacked Oregon74c337.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c05…36b3backed Liberty5c334.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.561931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad1…cb3cbacked Liberty21c328.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Liberty27c281.48$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76c4…470bbacked Oregon74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.271376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8507…8a79backed Liberty28c252.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Oregon72c230$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.45054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Liberty25c222$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.52123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Liberty7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Oregon73c199.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Liberty26c199.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5257448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Oregon73c199.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.994450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Liberty26c199.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.999839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oregon76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Oregon74c148.65$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6510558.1%61 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…35adbacked Oregon74c145.83$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oregon74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.148463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Oregon74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.149639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Oregon74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.142568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Oregon75c133.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.452657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Oregon75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3348462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c13…7ab3backed Liberty15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Liberty27c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.48737.9%33 W · 54 L-12.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Liberty26c115$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.495152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Liberty27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Oregon75c110.27$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.573652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Oregon73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Liberty27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Liberty12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.660551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Oregon74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264770.2%33 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Liberty26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Liberty28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Liberty27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2718129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Liberty25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Oregon75c86$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f7e…8a48backed Oregon74c77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.021233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fd…d003backed Oregon74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab88…8a0cbacked Liberty27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Oregon74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.577860.3%47 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d42…f046backed Oregon74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.57650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Oregon73c65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.552454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d46…4130backed Oregon74c63.51$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaef9…0b2bbacked Liberty27c62.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Liberty26c54.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.196923.2%16 W · 53 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Oregon74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.051883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7b2…7c50backed Oregon75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b96…27cbbacked Liberty27c44.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Oregon75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick74cpaid-44.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf039…3818backed Oregon74c37.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Oregon72c35.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.819751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde9…42b0backed Oregon73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+214.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa301…4097backed Oregon73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+213.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db2…f00fbacked Oregon73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+212.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x385d…f011backed Oregon73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+214.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…bb9bbacked Oregon73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+215.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b33…6ef7backed Oregon73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+215.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf255…949bbacked Oregon73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+109.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa654…17b9backed Oregon73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+213.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x431a…d59ebacked Oregon73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+213%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe05c…db82backed Oregon73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+214.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7529…f6afbacked Oregon73c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+213.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b58…c785backed Oregon73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+213.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…541ebacked Oregon73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+211.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21dd…98dfbacked Oregon73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+213.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.