Movies · resolved market
Will Chelsea die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ed41254b7e86aef07584cdec4f8f24b433349adb62b3e9f31e71c571e0aa6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 33c | 913.63$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 58c | 850$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.48 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 311.7$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 38c | 279.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…cb50backed Yes | 47c | 255.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…c3efbacked Yes | 21c | 234.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +369.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed9…516abacked Yes | 56c | 187.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 41c | 154$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 14c | 127.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked No | 77c | 120$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +67%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…d192backed Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 51c | 98.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 91.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…5c0cbacked No | 44c | 87.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…7f0abacked No | 45c | 85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed No | 58c | 75.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 23c | 75.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…8f76backed No | 64c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcb…1b37backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…4c35backed No | 64c | 69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…2374backed Yes | 36c | 69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…53b8backed Yes | 36c | 66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…f3dcbacked No | 64c | 66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a1…657fbacked Yes | 36c | 66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…0a71backed No | 64c | 66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…1b7bbacked Yes | 36c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…8918backed No | 64c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…090abacked Yes | 36c | 64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…1c4fbacked No | 64c | 64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…5db0backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…b38fbacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…7718backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…82e4backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…7eeabacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…9e64backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…10b3backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…f461backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f58…7fe5backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…9531backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…3df8backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…ae90backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…ddc9backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x181d…e37dbacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5094…9050backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…3c09backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…850abacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…e493backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…c71abacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…154abacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9d…398ebacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 26c | 59.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…504cbacked Yes | 36c | 57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae8…d052backed No | 64c | 57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked No | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 47c | 51.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 41c | 50.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba0…f119backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…5a38backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cd…2000backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…0967backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f54…ef1dbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…1ca2backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3af…8599backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…382ebacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…6578backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdd…d1ecbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ec…dcfdbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb851…459ebacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e3…9f98backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…7870backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a15…1573backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…d69cbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…c313backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 58c | 46.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…b55dbacked Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…eed1backed No | 64c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…0519backed Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…98b5backed No | 64c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3707…a17ebacked No | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830f…ac79backed Yes | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183c…f8b7backed No | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe04d…f06abacked No | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…3447backed Yes | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…cc09backed Yes | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ad…47a9backed Yes | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…7ec8backed No | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb634…9f6ebacked Yes | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc4…cca9backed No | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…dfb8backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b9…a734backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee7…85a5backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f99…815bbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…05d7backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…050cbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?this page
- Will Belinda die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?No won
- Will Chloe die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?No won
- Will Gaitok die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?No won
- Will Greg/Gary die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?No won
- Will Jaclyn die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?No won
- Will Jim Hollinger die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?Yes won
- Will Laurie die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?No won
- Will Lochlan die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?No won
- Will Mook die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?No won
- Will Pornchai die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?No won
- Will Rick Hatchett die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?Yes won
- Will Saxson die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?No won
- Will Sritala die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?No won
- Will Timothy Ratliff die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?No won
- Will Victoria die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.