TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,268

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe842…27d6backed Yes7c11,448$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.781010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-83.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0b…b4a7backed Yes1c2,750$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes21c1,805$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.431508%12 W · 138 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ca…5830backed Yes34c1,767$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.42825%7 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed No65c1,393$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.0225643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No66c1,354$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.8626830.6%82 W · 186 L-29.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes36c1,306$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdad6…4030backed Yes35c1,211$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc412…592dbacked Yes3c950$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.055158.8%30 W · 21 L+9.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4ca1…4449backed Yes52c867.2$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03eb…9dacbacked Yes36c840.72$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe065…d25fbacked Yes53c832.64$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.354443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes38c800$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.52821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No65c699.99$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24641540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75c…f6c2backed No64c689.77$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0d…5869backed Yes62c671.07$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+49.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba2c…bf17backed No75c648.81$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes35c529.59$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.873122.6%7 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed No66c467.51$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.712650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No65c464.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6131439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef3e…eff5backed Yes32c434$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No68c399.99$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12610143.6%44 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No68c396.5$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.683063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes19c341.82$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.29728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b20…68bdbacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes35c300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.171838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5638…224dbacked No63c280$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.264443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7691…dfc0backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Yes36c277.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed No55c257.97$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9118744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No48c250$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.752433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No64c249.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8311839%46 W · 72 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9173…eb51backed Yes37c241.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed No11c237.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.061450%7 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+630%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No65c221.19$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.229947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes54c220$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-50.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3975…626abacked No66c209.27$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.019181.3%74 W · 17 L+15.9wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+26%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc8c8…fc4cbacked No60c205.6$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.194339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes26c200.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1915332%49 W · 104 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505832.8%19 W · 39 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac61…f5f7backed Yes34c198.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.63837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3002…f725backed Yes30c194.04$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd602…0105backed No65c192.31$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb883…21b8backed Yes26c184.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.011060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.53154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+135.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes28c177.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.321833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No65c154.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.738037.5%30 W · 50 L-10.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4298…f07dbacked Yes44c151.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.09922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes28c139$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.296913%9 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No74c119$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.941741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes34c116.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes37c112$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.757123.9%17 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a8…9105backed No64c107$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.522825%7 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-62.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes29c104.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.617718.2%14 W · 63 L-11.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No58c95.8$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2419645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc1b…9397backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked No66c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5d…5598backed Yes64c77.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9169…a44dbacked No59c75.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes35c74.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe408…232bbacked Yes20c71.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.662733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4171…4f11backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…05e9backed No71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes31c67.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…29eebacked Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x802d…f484backed Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7b…04d8backed Yes32c61.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick30cpaid-86%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No65c57.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.352846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e9…9a37backed No59c56.31$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3a…aad9backed Yes37c56.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6440%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad78…1377backed No75c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7b…f837backed Yes74c52.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7552828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed No73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No65c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.751969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x925a…3e7fbacked No64c42.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0581…7206backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…50fdbacked Yes36c34.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed No75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.57131%22 W · 49 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf343…793cbacked Yes35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked No65c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes39c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53a2…87bfbacked Yes67c25.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed No66c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.441353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.