NFL · resolved market
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8509e2b627ae140f6be0ea6471d08a2bcbe432c519d1e2eff6416a5eabf7de9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe842…27d6backed No | 5c | 7,094$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.62 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d25fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,541$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.42 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…bf17backed Yes | 76c | 1,275$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…9dacbacked Yes | 29c | 1,149$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 27c | 915.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.27 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…ec61backed Yes | 26c | 758.57$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…6feebacked Yes | 36c | 713.62$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.72 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 34c | 681.11$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.36 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 49c | 599.97$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.18 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes | 34c | 582.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 70c | 509.22$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…89dcbacked Yes | 34c | 473.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 13c | 434.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81e…74a5backed Yes | 38c | 369.28$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 73c | 360.45$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.84 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…793cbacked Yes | 74c | 359.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0d…5869backed Yes | 33c | 343.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 69c | 323.3$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.62 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 16c | 313.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 68c | 246.77$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.69 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 73c | 226.58$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.66 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 27c | 222.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.34 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 23c | 215.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 26c | 210.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yes | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 75c | 178.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 26c | 161$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes | 26c | 154.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 24c | 148.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 31c | 145.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 31c | 145$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…21b8backed Yes | 32c | 140.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 45c | 132.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 13c | 120$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +9.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xef3e…eff5backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…f1aabacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 25c | 99.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 88.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked No | 68c | 87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 31c | 84.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 31c | 74.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…b2c1backed Yes | 34c | 73.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 67c | 67.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 64c | 64.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 23c | 63.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d991backed Yes | 33c | 60.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed No | 67c | 55.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed No | 66c | 54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…42dcbacked Yes | 38c | 52.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…b199backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 33c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 33c | 39.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 73c | 37.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…733ebacked Yes | 30c | 36.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +228.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…4569backed Yes | 35c | 32.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…6705backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 73c | 27.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…d7c6backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Yes | 69c | 24.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 22.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked No | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?this page
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 140 and 150 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 80 and 90 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 90 and 100 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last less than 80 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last more than 150 seconds?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.