NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd78d2fbf7d7947622e29f54f804a6684a3bb6b4844aef0138c1d991ba6ed051d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Flyers, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Stars | 71c | 13,965$9,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers | 28c | 9,567$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.75 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Flyers | 31c | 7,347$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.19 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…c45cbacked Flyers | 44c | 6,824$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…5a31backed Flyers | 43c | 4,663$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers | 24c | 2,855$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.03 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Stars | 66c | 2,498$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.3 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Flyers | 6c | 2,493$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 65c | 2,230$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 60c | 1,873$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.84 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars | 72c | 1,623$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.35 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Stars | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flyers | 28c | 1,478$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.79 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Stars | 68c | 1,364$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.32 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Stars | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Flyers | 27c | 986.19$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.27 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 73c | 769$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.63 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Stars | 71c | 760.6$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.07 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers | 26c | 677.37$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.89 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…1aaebacked Flyers | 16c | 668$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Stars | 69c | 555$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.8 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Stars | 51c | 522.68$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.11 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Stars | 60c | 472.51$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers | 28c | 399.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed Stars | 73c | 376$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Flyers | 29c | 344.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Flyers | 27c | 332.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flyers | 20c | 332.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers | 28c | 305$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Stars | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Stars | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Stars | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Stars | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Stars | 72c | 279.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Stars | 72c | 247.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers | 18c | 235.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…abffbacked Stars | 68c | 231.1$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Flyers | 28c | 215.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 27c | 185.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Flyers | 35c | 182.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Stars | 63c | 179.71$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stars | 71c | 158.64$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…eee8backed Flyers | 29c | 153.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Stars | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Flyers | 28c | 129.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Flyers | 34c | 114.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Flyers | 9c | 114.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Stars | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Flyers | 30c | 108.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…ae78backed Flyers | 29c | 103.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Stars | 69c | 103.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flyers | 18c | 101.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Stars | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Stars | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Stars | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Flyers | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Stars | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Flyers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7beb…a8a3backed Stars | 72c | 81.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…f1e0backed Stars | 72c | 78.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b2…ab20backed Flyers | 29c | 76.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…6ac8backed Flyers | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7bdebacked Stars | 72c | 74.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…b8f6backed Stars | 73c | 73.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…4fb0backed Stars | 73c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…f330backed Flyers | 29c | 70.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…f982backed Stars | 72c | 69.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…489bbacked Flyers | 28c | 69.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Stars | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc91…2083backed Flyers | 28c | 68.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c7…b16cbacked Flyers | 29c | 67.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…0266backed Stars | 68c | 66.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…4c49backed Flyers | 28c | 66.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…92a9backed Flyers | 28c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564d…aef1backed Stars | 72c | 65.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…5519backed Flyers | 29c | 65.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea7…8e04backed Stars | 73c | 63.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…bfdabacked Stars | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Stars | 80c | 62.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d37…a5f0backed Flyers | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Stars | 72c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…9cadbacked Stars | 73c | 61.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79d…650dbacked Stars | 73c | 60.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Stars | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…2a8ebacked Stars | 72c | 55.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…f3babacked Stars | 73c | 53.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Flyers | 27c | 51.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Stars | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Flyers | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d06…59c8backed Stars | 73c | 41.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Stars | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Flyers | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Stars | 72c | 37.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Stars | 71c | 36.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Stars | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…d9cfbacked Stars | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.