Us Politics · resolved market
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x142b80b11dc824059afa21b5b356f2ddf84283f179a132efd6fd94261fab8d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e0f…3c80backed Yes | 0c | 17,850$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 26c | 15,568$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.17 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…26c9backed Yes | 1c | 14,025$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 12c | 13,910$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.2 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…1d0abacked Yes | 0c | 6,265$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed No | 66c | 5,870$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 68c | 5,593$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.89 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 77c | 5,007$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.9 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 66c | 4,976$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.89 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…eff6backed Yes | 9c | 4,500$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Yes | 24c | 3,100$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 37c | 2,719$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.54 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0242…565dbacked Yes | 37c | 2,717$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed No | 65c | 2,638$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.84 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Yes | 27c | 2,540$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8107…4f39backed Yes | 10c | 2,414$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 35c | 2,096$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.78 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 13c | 1,796$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.43 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 15c | 1,684$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed No | 66c | 1,531$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.1 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 34c | 1,400$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.67 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 68c | 1,348$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.88 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,321$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 13c | 1,190$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…d797backed Yes | 30c | 1,100$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…9be0backed Yes | 16c | 1,076$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…adabbacked No | 55c | 1,051$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 27c | 1,014$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.37 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7b42backed No | 63c | 706.91$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.64 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 22c | 662.71$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 38c | 650$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…e330backed No | 72c | 590.14$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 53c | 572.28$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.21 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 67c | 560.75$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 11c | 538$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 43c | 518.29$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 500.03$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.58 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed Yes | 9c | 500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed No | 55c | 463.93$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 74c | 454.93$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 16c | 450$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed No | 65c | 402.75$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…c09fbacked No | 67c | 370.15$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 19c | 314.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 46c | 300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed No | 67c | 293$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9d…2292backed No | 73c | 291.45$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 46c | 273.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 39c | 236.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…442ebacked No | 61c | 218.36$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 214.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…2420backed No | 71c | 205.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…6312backed No | 73c | 204.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…ef6ebacked No | 62c | 204.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +231.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…94f0backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked No | 62c | 178$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked No | 61c | 157.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 20c | 151.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee97…ee69backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dc…c3e2backed No | 67c | 149.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4365…e20abacked Yes | 37c | 136.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…b2febacked No | 53c | 128.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…1e6dbacked Yes | 23c | 127.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 33c | 124.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb23…62e2backed No | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…ca64backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9d…478abacked Yes | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 21c | 104.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…6ce6backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed No | 54c | 96.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 20c | 92.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…11b1backed No | 55c | 90.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 53c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…58cabacked No | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 29c | 78.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 64c | 77.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 28c | 77.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…9052backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b36abacked No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…5fadbacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe15c…152cbacked No | 72c | 65.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 42c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.