NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b5acd362e706d9a37f8d9c9fc4c12281775055aeefe32d8b327b2d8559e7522
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Flames | 47c | 19,164$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,163.9 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Flames | 31c | 9,774$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,773.64 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Islanders | 53c | 9,460$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.03 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders | 53c | 9,268$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,876.78 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Islanders | 69c | 5,281$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.8 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 50c | 4,083$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.91 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Flames | 51c | 3,930$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Flames | 47c | 2,928$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.45 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Islanders | 54c | 2,416$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.89 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…c557backed Islanders | 56c | 2,357$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 52c | 2,057$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Islanders | 55c | 2,003$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Flames | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Islanders | 51c | 1,991$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.44 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flames | 51c | 1,699$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.21 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Flames | 45c | 1,487$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.06 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Flames | 50c | 1,443$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders | 53c | 1,109$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.46 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Flames | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Islanders | 54c | 1,049$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.45 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Islanders | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Islanders | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Islanders | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 46c | 799.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Islanders | 74c | 485.14$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Flames | 51c | 475.92$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.68 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 71c | 467.89$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.78 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flames | 45c | 446.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.84 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Islanders | 53c | 302$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0995…fa39backed Flames | 44c | 285$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe32…5e5dbacked Islanders | 56c | 285$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 44c | 279.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Islanders | 57c | 269.88$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe38…128bbacked Flames | 44c | 260$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…b3bdbacked Islanders | 56c | 260$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e0…d53ebacked Flames | 44c | 239$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08a…3358backed Islanders | 56c | 239$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Islanders | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Islanders | 58c | 189.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Islanders | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Islanders | 56c | 172.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders | 47c | 156.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Islanders | 55c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…a86abacked Islanders | 58c | 134.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…7205backed Flames | 47c | 115.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb19…e5a0backed Flames | 48c | 110.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Islanders | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Flames | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Flames | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Islanders | 55c | 99.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Islanders | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9268…6d02backed Islanders | 54c | 92.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…65ecbacked Islanders | 54c | 91.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…6576backed Islanders | 54c | 89.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Islanders | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…f90cbacked Islanders | 55c | 87.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…e9aebacked Flames | 46c | 87.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Flames | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Islanders | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…413cbacked Flames | 48c | 72.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Islanders | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Flames | 44c | 64.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders | 53c | 60.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…8e0ebacked Islanders | 56c | 54.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…b415backed Flames | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…3c10backed Flames | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Islanders | 29c | 53.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Islanders | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Flames | 52c | 51.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Islanders | 54c | 46.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Islanders | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Flames | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…6f4fbacked Flames | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Islanders | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…82f5backed Islanders | 54c | 36.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Islanders | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Islanders | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…feffbacked Islanders | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Flames | 47c | 32.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Flames | 46c | 29.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Flames | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Flames | 48c | 28.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Islanders | 52c | 27.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…99aabacked Islanders | 54c | 25.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.