Champions League · resolved market
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x041869c02957aba1bf038282c084a3e401c458af28bc9384925f414be39da67f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 1c | 7,931$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…e67ebacked No | 1c | 3,113$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…5e0fbacked No | 7c | 2,500$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed No | 2c | 2,400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,668$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.3 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 2c | 1,453$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…e2e4backed No | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…969cbacked No | 3c | 1,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 33c | 990.92$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 56c | 915.14$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.07 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 33c | 799.23$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.77 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 3c | 723.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 74c | 721.03$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…d22dbacked No | 1c | 716.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed No | 53c | 712.31$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 61c | 585$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…b0d8backed No | 2c | 550.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked Yes | 79c | 548.98$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6ab0backed No | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 465.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…faadbacked Yes | 38c | 392.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 34c | 349.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 50c | 327.02$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked No | 58c | 307.78$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 61c | 307.77$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…5e48backed Yes | 49c | 284.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…b1e4backed No | 65c | 269.3$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 46c | 209.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…e499backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 184.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea18…683cbacked No | 18c | 175.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 44c | 160$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked No | 64c | 156.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 51c | 152.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes | 47c | 152$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…a0fdbacked No | 74c | 110$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…8b4fbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…c3a1backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…9ce8backed No | 72c | 86.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…7b4cbacked Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 51c | 69.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 41c | 52.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Yes | 50c | 51.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed No | 54c | 47.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…67dbbacked Yes | 45c | 35.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb1…0131backed No | 58c | 34.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…630cbacked No | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…16b8backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 37c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 46c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…7853backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…ac9dbacked No | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.