TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Sabres, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,078 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Sabres43c17,718$7,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,609.022055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wild57c8,400$4,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,61292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres10c6,948$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.771,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Wild57c4,444$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.9131546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Sabres42c3,451$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.2637738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Sabres44c2,262$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres42c2,196$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.291,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Wild59c2,034$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.92864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Sabres41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82011354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Wild57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3915261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Wild59c1,563$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.6358467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Wild58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Sabres2c1,260$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.94436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Wild58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.484751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Wild56c1,002$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.6749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Wild58c799.5$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.794067.5%27 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Wild56c714.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.7415663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Wild58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29421255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wild56c564$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0c…76fabacked Wild57c424.26$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.434548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e75…e196backed Sabres43c404$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d87…b653backed Wild58c404$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres42c393.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Wild57c389.41$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.1166951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Wild56c333.01$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.867240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Wild58c307.95$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3431753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Sabres41c249.69$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3751044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a3…6b01backed Wild58c226$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84b0…df88backed Sabres42c226$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf7…7a24backed Wild58c213$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.461172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf44…a5e8backed Sabres42c213$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfe…c153backed Wild58c212$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.041040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd103…69f6backed Sabres42c212$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5457…90d8backed Wild58c210$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.21030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a24…20a6backed Sabres42c210$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Wild62c209.73$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.319863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Wild57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8611951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wild57c191.42$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.311,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3953…2b73backed Wild58c188.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81c…c43abacked Sabres42c176$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.921346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7b…a0a0backed Wild58c176$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.921450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ce…7b13backed Wild58c171$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.82850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e1…3348backed Sabres42c171$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.821330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Wild57c165.05$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9719848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8134…bf1abacked Sabres42c159.52$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x639c…f0b8backed Sabres42c148.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wild57c142.64$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0532…0b95backed Sabres42c141.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.632326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-47.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Wild59c141.25$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9111354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3195…750abacked Wild58c137.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x839e…ca9cbacked Sabres42c136.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.471952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b4…3ae3backed Sabres44c133.89$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.911637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab7e…4852backed Wild58c119.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.33540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…7e18backed Sabres45c119.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Sabres42c109.9$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1636242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbba…04babacked Sabres44c103.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.531850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…561ebacked Sabres44c102.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.08850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Wild58c100.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0928542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Wild58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4235154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wild57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Wild59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4130155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Wild59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4150049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Wild58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wild56c98.63$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9160549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b9…7604backed Wild57c94.28$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked Sabres42c91.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.244729.8%14 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa09b…bed5backed Wild57c87.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.831050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Wild57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7233145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x844b…80e0backed Wild57c86.35$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.22875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe225…0644backed Sabres45c83.09$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.392254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Wild56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.29352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe891…75dabacked Sabres44c78.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.711442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bf…9eebbacked Wild56c74.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.591656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5354…9c15backed Wild56c73.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.351361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fdb…09e8backed Wild57c71.23$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71b7…958dbacked Wild58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9711558.3%67 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Wild59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.87251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Wild59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Sabres41c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.657936.7%29 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d39…983bbacked Wild57c62.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.681060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471d…4816backed Wild57c61.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.32250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Sabres41c59.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5829748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x442b…736cbacked Sabres44c59.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.341861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x368c…b415backed Sabres45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Wild57c54.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3973157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3447…3495backed Wild56c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.321070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ee…b078backed Wild59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8514156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Sabres29c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.438744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Wild56c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9926059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Wild59c46.95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2517363%109 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6c…0266backed Wild57c46.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Wild57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8697955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Wild59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3745954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Wild59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3741954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Sabres42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.628440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48b1…b478backed Wild56c38.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.991560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Wild57c38.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4511057.3%63 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe00d…815dbacked Wild57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.093265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.