AI · resolved market
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa6a3dcf3f25cc84d660b255793f9a2fc246c0b2e4ffeb51285dce46e075bded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $454,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $506,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d8e…77b6backed Yes | 77c | 13,799$10,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 8c | 11,127$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.72 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 58c | 7,340$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.86 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed No | 6c | 7,077$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed Yes | 12c | 6,386$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 10c | 5,896$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.2 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 5c | 5,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 49c | 4,719$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked Yes | 22c | 4,485$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 62c | 4,420$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed No | 11c | 4,327$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed No | 32c | 4,239$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed No | 2c | 4,021$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…4126backed Yes | 7c | 4,020$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 13cpaid | +256.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…51b7backed Yes | 11c | 3,402$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +295.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 72c | 3,384$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked No | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a6a5backed No | 0c | 2,995$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae5b…0a8cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,976$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.11 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…7addbacked Yes | 42c | 2,920$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.17 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes | 74c | 2,802$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Yes | 71c | 2,543$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 6c | 2,221$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed Yes | 44c | 2,102$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.98 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0b…2341backed Yes | 80c | 1,969$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…cecfbacked Yes | 52c | 1,857$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 64c | 1,811$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.81 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 54c | 1,774$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.17 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 55c | 1,687$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf741…3d75backed No | 3c | 1,596$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 17c | 1,400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.7 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,307$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes | 61c | 1,282$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…6694backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 62c | 1,248$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 61c | 1,162$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.59 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed Yes | 66c | 1,145$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 52c | 1,063$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…e372backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 6c | 999.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf478…aaa2backed No | 6c | 989.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…085ebacked Yes | 21c | 951.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 61c | 916.69$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.55 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…5009backed Yes | 79c | 856.15$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 60c | 850$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 24c | 770.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Yes | 26c | 747.69$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 18cpaid | +694.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…8afebacked Yes | 66c | 740.81$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…9074backed Yes | 9c | 728.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd94…b271backed Yes | 7c | 722.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.38 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…e42abacked Yes | 58c | 720$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 686.17$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.98 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed Yes | 75c | 668.53$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 22c | 654$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…c875backed Yes | 73c | 653.45$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…6917backed Yes | 7c | 648.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,248%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed Yes | 65c | 639.67$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.88 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…237cbacked No | 4c | 637.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 43c | 616.89$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002c…cbc2backed Yes | 17c | 605.88$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +494%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…87cfbacked Yes | 59c | 601.79$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…2acbbacked Yes | 5c | 601.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed No | 12c | 598.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes | 64c | 574.04$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 52c | 558$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 17c | 542$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +238.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 62c | 527.88$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…9388backed Yes | 58c | 515.52$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 31c | 511.97$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.38 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3034…e969backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…36ccbacked No | 33c | 456.52$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f49cbacked Yes | 49c | 454.17$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…2309backed Yes | 44c | 450.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed Yes | 13c | 444.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…1ddcbacked No | 6c | 436.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…aed3backed Yes | 46c | 436.18$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5e…1740backed Yes | 33c | 430.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +207.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 58c | 426.53$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…cd10backed Yes | 72c | 420$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 36c | 403.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…90c9backed Yes | 7c | 400.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +300.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…2329backed Yes | 29c | 386.66$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…3ef8backed No | 8c | 369.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…1632backed Yes | 11c | 365.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 351.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Yes | 74c | 348.4$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…3ce1backed Yes | 76c | 316.38$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 49c | 306.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.81 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…00fcbacked Yes | 78c | 300$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed No | 10c | 294.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b1…cdcfbacked Yes | 7c | 287.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +619.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 46c | 279.71$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.31 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…be21backed Yes | 55c | 271.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 13c | 255.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?this page
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
- Will another company be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.