Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas vs. Kansas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2249bcb3f00d2c28e1d78de7bdc1f308778024d4d35ff34465ac92614a752350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansasof Arkansas, Kansas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $507,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Arkansas | 36c | 55,000$19,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,255.55 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Kansas | 42c | 28,229$11,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,805.17 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Kansas | 65c | 26,788$17,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,324.53 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Kansas | 46c | 24,075$11,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,189.13 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Arkansas | 35c | 18,423$6,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,007.72 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Arkansas | 40c | 7,664$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.68 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…7bb6backed Kansas | 61c | 7,198$4,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Kansas | 64c | 7,054$4,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,516.6 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kansas | 65c | 5,850$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.5 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Arkansas | 45c | 5,119$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Kansas | 64c | 5,078$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kansas | 40c | 5,033$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Kansas | 65c | 3,960$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.89 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Kansas | 48c | 3,786$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kansas | 67c | 3,296$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.43 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Arkansas | 36c | 2,414$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.68 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Kansas | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kansas | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Arkansas | 45c | 1,956$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.17 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas | 13c | 1,701$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.3 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Kansas | 52c | 1,499$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kansas | 67c | 1,483$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas | 65c | 1,343$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.52 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Arkansas | 33c | 1,297$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.61 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Kansas | 47c | 1,291$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.94 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed Arkansas | 34c | 1,002$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kansas | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Kansas | 64c | 975.88$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.68 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked Arkansas | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kansas | 65c | 849.84$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed Arkansas | 33c | 800$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Arkansas | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Kansas | 58c | 769.6$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.93 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kansas | 65c | 616.05$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.43 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kansas | 64c | 470$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kansas | 56c | 467.32$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.7 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…88a7backed Arkansas | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Kansas | 65c | 332.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…4d73backed Kansas | 27c | 329.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kansas | 56c | 328.45$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Kansas | 30c | 304.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed Arkansas | 33c | 302.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kansas | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Arkansas | 34c | 294.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Arkansas | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75a…8e0fbacked Kansas | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Arkansas | 26c | 232.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.65 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Kansas | 6c | 220$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Kansas | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Arkansas | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Arkansas | 58c | 207.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e95…d070backed Arkansas | 35c | 200$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…779dbacked Arkansas | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kansas | 40c | 183.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Arkansas | 35c | 173.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Kansas | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Kansas | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4420backed Kansas | 67c | 156.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Kansas | 68c | 148.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kansas | 73c | 147.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Arkansas | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…d4a0backed Arkansas | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Arkansas | 32c | 135.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f21…c6efbacked Kansas | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kansas | 63c | 118.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Kansas | 67c | 115.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…ac88backed Arkansas | 35c | 112.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Arkansas | 35c | 112.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Kansas | 52c | 107.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Arkansas | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Arkansas | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Kansas | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…cb3cbacked Kansas | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Kansas | 39c | 91.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…63a3backed Kansas | 56c | 89.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Kansas | 68c | 88.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…6c10backed Arkansas | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…a524backed Arkansas | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Kansas | 62c | 77.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…227dbacked Arkansas | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kansas | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…1c3dbacked Arkansas | 61c | 72.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc3…14dbbacked Arkansas | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Arkansas | 33c | 65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Kansas | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Arkansas | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…7acdbacked Arkansas | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kansas | 63c | 54.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Kansas | 65c | 51.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Kansas | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Arkansas | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Kansas | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…a6afbacked Arkansas | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Arkansas | 34c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…953bbacked Kansas | 64c | 38.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Kansas | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Kansas | 52c | 34.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Kansas | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Kansas | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Kansas | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.