World Politics · resolved market
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6172c63f9c1653f3fb21fb6f51b94821111730fa9a46212b3150a82f1eb234f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c7b…5485backed No | 74c | 4,112$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.56 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 28c | 2,940$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.18 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc961…db04backed Yes | 13c | 2,776$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 1,770$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 13c | 1,616$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.35 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,207$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,204$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…4c9fbacked No | 67c | 1,198$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.33 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,131$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.02 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 4c | 1,051$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Yes | 12c | 943.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked No | 72c | 938.44$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.56 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 15c | 875$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 2c | 759.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd02…fb6abacked Yes | 13c | 749.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 688.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 34c | 686.75$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 18c | 632.57$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 26c | 565$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 72c | 549.15$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.15 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8b…d1eebacked Yes | 4c | 521.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 3c | 510.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed Yes | 4c | 504.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…f147backed Yes | 17c | 490.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 458.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490d…d807backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 9c | 385$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 11c | 304.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 21c | 297.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e4…2381backed Yes | 22c | 294.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…cf09backed Yes | 6c | 287.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 242.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…c1fcbacked No | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 235.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…dedabacked No | 71c | 227.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +188.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed Yes | 17c | 212.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 26c | 209.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 11c | 201.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd844…cdd9backed Yes | 29c | 201.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503f…2313backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…4bddbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…e865backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa883…31fbbacked Yes | 22c | 199.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…5853backed No | 67c | 159.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 10c | 155.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 17c | 152.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…b849backed Yes | 35c | 149.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 139.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 28c | 139.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…f7ecbacked Yes | 30c | 120.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 25c | 111.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…83b7backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 25c | 107.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 27c | 104.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Yes | 20c | 102.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7306backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…3f3bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 29c | 97.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…6b7cbacked Yes | 29c | 97.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…f4f1backed No | 78c | 88.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 34c | 80.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d88…39d8backed Yes | 16c | 80.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 19c | 72.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…cec1backed Yes | 26c | 72.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…6aeebacked Yes | 29c | 68.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b1…4c7bbacked Yes | 19c | 60.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…35d9backed Yes | 35c | 56.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 72c | 54.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 72c | 52.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed Yes | 25c | 42.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…abc7backed No | 72c | 40.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…5f9abacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ef…4535backed No | 72c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…6bfcbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x065e…cf28backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 77c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…fce3backed No | 62c | 25.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…2a55backed No | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d53…bcb7backed No | 75c | 19.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…7810backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ab…e190backed No | 73c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.