Boxing · resolved market
Will the fight end in the Round 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4d13c2b6dab320db14eee757635428480ea8b13c16b826f476c9bf3ace6a2a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 20c | 7,253$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 20c | 6,857$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…526fbacked Yes | 24c | 4,167$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 18c | 3,284$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 78c | 3,008$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,900$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…7858backed No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 20c | 1,252$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…0bd8backed Yes | 20c | 1,136$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…8faabacked Yes | 19c | 999.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 22c | 496.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 17c | 441.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 79c | 425$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed Yes | 21c | 404.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 80c | 400$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 77c | 320.01$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…c89abacked Yes | 23c | 298.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…5a1abacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cc…e708backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 22c | 249.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8757…872dbacked Yes | 25c | 196.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 16c | 185.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 30cpaid | +247.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe5cbacked Yes | 24c | 148.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 73c | 142.44$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…4b32backed Yes | 23c | 106.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…248fbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…fbe7backed Yes | 21c | 93.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…13b4backed Yes | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked No | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…3c84backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…fccdbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 29c | 68.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 18c | 59.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 78c | 59.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 77c | 52.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…2fedbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 41.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…6805backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 79c | 30.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…ad68backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the fight end in the Round 2?this page
- Will the fight end in Round 1?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 3?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 4?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 5?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 6?Yes won
- Will the fight end in Round 7?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 8?No won
- Will the fight go the distance?No won
- Will the fight not be scored by January 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.