Boxing · resolved market
Will the fight end in Round 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaa28c9165619af556375a9b9a8c6387c05595e5d1bdf50ae6649d88ec7073f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 16c | 78,688$12,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,280.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 16c | 26,750$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370.01 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 18c | 10,261$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 16c | 9,140$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.74 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 15c | 7,031$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 30cpaid | +247.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…526fbacked Yes | 19c | 5,265$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…ff51backed Yes | 22c | 4,565$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…0bd8backed Yes | 18c | 3,736$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 17c | 1,921$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.76 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…aa18backed Yes | 20c | 1,692$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 17c | 1,357$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…3c2bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,235$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 16c | 1,109$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3244…5b5dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,006$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…0f18backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Yes | 15c | 743$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 80c | 684.88$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 18c | 600$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 20c | 577.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…f150backed Yes | 20c | 569.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…7b4dbacked Yes | 16c | 520.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…8faabacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed Yes | 17c | 405.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…0e38backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 79c | 362.65$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…1ea4backed Yes | 22c | 342.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe5cbacked Yes | 19c | 309.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7f…7dc4backed No | 79c | 284.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…c8d2backed Yes | 27c | 271.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfd…9126backed Yes | 28c | 257$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…30d9backed Yes | 19c | 193.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…0305backed Yes | 22c | 192.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 17c | 170.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…adafbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 150.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked No | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d34cbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 16c | 125.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 13c | 125.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63d…404dbacked Yes | 17c | 115.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 17c | 109.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…4b32backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…d9adbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…fccdbacked Yes | 23c | 88.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…8427backed Yes | 23c | 87.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 16c | 85.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 79c | 63.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…2fedbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 80c | 58.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…3e67backed Yes | 20c | 53.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…248fbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…b0d8backed Yes | 61c | 32.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 80c | 29.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 78c | 13.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the fight end in Round 1?this page
- Will the fight end in Round 3?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 4?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 5?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 6?Yes won
- Will the fight end in Round 7?No won
- Will the fight end in Round 8?No won
- Will the fight end in the Round 2?No won
- Will the fight go the distance?No won
- Will the fight not be scored by January 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.