NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7c4d1548a8875fa345da795d6fb56dbeb3d7c8dd1dc5b23e3667b22166e999d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 745 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bulls | 57c | 31,958$18,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,206.9 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 37c | 23,397$8,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,736.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mavericks | 44c | 18,124$8,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,122 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Mavericks | 44c | 17,634$7,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,872.62 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.97 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bulls | 51c | 9,938$5,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,072.92 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked Mavericks | 43c | 9,120$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,198.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…6925backed Bulls | 57c | 9,120$5,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Mavericks | 46c | 8,468$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590.16 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Mavericks | 37c | 8,304$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.72 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Bulls | 11c | 8,206$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.42 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Bulls | 56c | 7,777$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.12 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Mavericks | 43c | 6,266$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.08 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Mavericks | 50c | 5,443$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.7 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Bulls | 20c | 5,335$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.61 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bulls | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Mavericks | 56c | 4,381$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.9 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bulls | 56c | 4,100$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.1 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Mavericks | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.93 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Bulls | 60c | 3,514$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.45 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mavericks | 43c | 3,507$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.43 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bulls | 53c | 3,369$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.61 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bulls | 2c | 3,123$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mavericks | 43c | 2,702$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.47 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bulls | 38c | 2,481$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.06 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Bulls | 32c | 2,099$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Bulls | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Bulls | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Bulls | 11c | 1,835$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Bulls | 67c | 1,750$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.96 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls | 56c | 1,744$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.99 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Mavericks | 68c | 1,628$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.82 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74c…2ee9backed Bulls | 48c | 1,612$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +1,983.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…a2f9backed Mavericks | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Mavericks | 43c | 1,550$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.13 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks | 43c | 1,519$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.83 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Mavericks | 66c | 1,517$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.27 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks | 42c | 1,500$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.4 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bulls | 67c | 1,500$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Bulls | 46c | 1,448$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.56 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Bulls | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Bulls | 60c | 1,328$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls | 57c | 1,244$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.26 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Mavericks | 42c | 1,200$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.94 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bulls | 57c | 1,180$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.58 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bulls | 31c | 1,167$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.77 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks | 42c | 1,157$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.65 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Bulls | 59c | 1,144$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.57 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bulls | 55c | 1,081$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.02 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…7eabbacked Bulls | 53c | 1,056$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 43c | 1,050$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 57c | 1,000$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Bulls | 41c | 975.83$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Mavericks | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Bulls | 57c | 890.16$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.79 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks | 43c | 822.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.59 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Mavericks | 43c | 808.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.18 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Bulls | 59c | 788.99$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.51 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 56c | 764.96$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.38 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Bulls | 3c | 733.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bulls | 58c | 721.11$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.94 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bulls | 2c | 680$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Bulls | 30c | 666.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Mavericks | 61c | 653.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.26 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…9cb2backed Bulls | 49c | 648.34$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks | 43c | 643$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.51 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Bulls | 33c | 600$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Bulls | 51c | 588.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Bulls | 19c | 571.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks | 44c | 544$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.64 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mavericks | 44c | 539.8$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.71 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Bulls | 57c | 525$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Bulls | 57c | 522.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Bulls | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Bulls | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Bulls | 57c | 488.76$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.54 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Bulls | 58c | 434.59$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.06 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Bulls | 11c | 433.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Mavericks | 43c | 413.46$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Mavericks | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mavericks | 43c | 366.6$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.2 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Mavericks | 54c | 355.6$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.57 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Bulls | 67c | 322.08$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.38 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Bulls | 5c | 320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Mavericks | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…3febbacked Mavericks | 71c | 299.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.04 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Mavericks | 44c | 297$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Bulls | 50c | 280.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mavericks | 51c | 280.15$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabb…eb20backed Mavericks | 66c | 262$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Mavericks | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Mavericks | 50c | 250.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Mavericks | 74c | 250.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Mavericks | 43c | 245$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks | 56c | 236.37$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.