Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC UNA Strassen win on 2026-07-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbcbce019802bf122b0d8f33db02e0e17df54997a8ac4e2ceba085c52994e2d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 32c | 6,599$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.34 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 74c | 2,950$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.09 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,832$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.69 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 26c | 741.88$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.79 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes | 55c | 730$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 68c | 685.08$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.42 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 25c | 431.19$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 27c | 399.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 73c | 353.42$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 74c | 311.76$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Yes | 73c | 277.84$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 267.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 55c | 199$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Yes | 72c | 182.48$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 77c | 172.88$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 69c | 161.57$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 75c | 139.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 50c | 121.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 73c | 117.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 25c | 97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 27c | 92.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 23c | 89.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 30c | 82.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 47c | 71.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 29c | 62.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked No | 35c | 53.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed No | 26c | 52.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 52.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 32c | 45.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Yes | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 70c | 41.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…6a5dbacked No | 37c | 40.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Yes | 66c | 40.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Yes | 67c | 39.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 75c | 31.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Yes | 76c | 30.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Yes | 73c | 21.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d2…22dcbacked Yes | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yes | 61c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Yes | 76c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Yes | 67c | 15.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 70c | 14.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC UNA Strassen win on 2026-07-07?this page
- Will FC UNA Strassen vs. SP La Fiorita end in a draw?No won
- Will SP La Fiorita win on 2026-07-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.