TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed No23c10,243$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.48643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No13c9,783$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.662,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes77c4,816$3,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.374456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No4c4,690$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0514530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed No3c3,677$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.043444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No11c3,456$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.732263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No24c2,435$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.847756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No23c2,257$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.994852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No9c2,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No24c2,150$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51643618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No8c1,845$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.481,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No7c1,809$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9513748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed No7c1,772$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.482744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Yes76c1,708$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.531764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No7c1,703$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1110649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No18c1,588$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.126823.5%16 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No20c1,457$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.319952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8817…cda8backed No18c1,348$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.414831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe970…d76abacked Yes76c1,300$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes78c1,252$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.455100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2883531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes77c1,117$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.1242250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No8c1,086$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.136251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2304645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed No22c999.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes75c996.33$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.21,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x639f…75f0backed No8c984.42$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.583562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes77c948.08$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.81,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes76c865$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.6342962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No7c860.59$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.323,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No6c833.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2723254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes76c653.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6611551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes76c624.34$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1523549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked No5c623.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.916230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes76c600.02$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes78c570$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.48660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Yes77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.481283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes77c511.91$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7410242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked No21c472.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9912414.5%18 W · 106 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No23c434.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.563844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No5c426$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.982910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-86.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed No24c399.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes77c399.98$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No21c399.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.994637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.616753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No11c382.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5210249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed No13c375.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.793348.5%16 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No14c372.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.411,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes78c340.47$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No14c329.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1989846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes79c301.68$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8433560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes79c301.68$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes78c300.21$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0517251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c51…8001backed No8c293.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes76c282.89$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.899256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed No13c273.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.523650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes77c269$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.872369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9503…1fd2backed No9c262.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+75.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes78c258.9$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.884847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4116262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No22c253.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7225955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes76c243.42$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.425143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No8c243.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4621640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No4c235$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.49710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No14c219$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.141,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No25c202$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.52642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No24c184.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.231850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No24c179.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5241654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No24c175$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes78c170.15$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.431675%12 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No23c140$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.26144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No22c139.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.791040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes77c139.29$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.645253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes78c131.04$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.833554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x992d…3e3dbacked No23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes77c128.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55a…75a6backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211580%12 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec0…9430backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes76c115$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.478756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes77c106$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3870055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.271687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes76c100.81$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.191,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2326745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2212348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes77c99.82$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.432,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed No11c97.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.747454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No24c95.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6926160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No22c77.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.112,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccaa…740fbacked Yes78c74.77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b6…e356backed Yes79c65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.651172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7902…170cbacked Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed No25c61.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No24c57.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6418859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Yes77c55.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.84862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes78c54.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.351,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No23c50.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5344959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.