Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Flora win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4759b019a65852ed859e9a8f4050d5363843f87f64339dfb81ac555bf73fad70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 56c | 6,439$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.19 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 48c | 1,358$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.63 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 1,094$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.16 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 58c | 941$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 3c | 673.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 52c | 471.09$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.33 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 45c | 446.35$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.94 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 406.99$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 380.93$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.51 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 53c | 377$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 350.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 50c | 319$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 293.1$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 50c | 293$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 51c | 253$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 40c | 244$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 36c | 240.84$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 49c | 238.37$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 63c | 220.59$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 213.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 74c | 197$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 40c | 194.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 53c | 193.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 42c | 166$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 47c | 152.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 53c | 148.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 51c | 140$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 131.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 26c | 128.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 49c | 121.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 27c | 117.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 51c | 93.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…e9abbacked Yes | 50c | 91.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 84.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 54c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…e416backed No | 72c | 68.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 51c | 67.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 46c | 58.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 39c | 55.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 48c | 51.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…210dbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 49.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 36c | 46.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 42.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed No | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…7d46backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked No | 47c | 36.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…5ab8backed Yes | 52c | 31.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -6.7wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yes | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed No | 50c | 27.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 26.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 47c | 26.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 49c | 22.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed No | 61c | 17.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed No | 75c | 15.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Flora win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will FC Flora vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes end in a draw?No won
- Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.