Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will NK Varaždin win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac91fa869ad84ce6928ad5059a1e240d953fb5a715c386a2a48405e3f70e1f27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 5,787$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014.4 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,947$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.35 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 1,212$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.55 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 22c | 1,107$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.21 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 24c | 836.89$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.11 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 498.62$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.71 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 407.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.78 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 67c | 360$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 33c | 345$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 55c | 276.94$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 45c | 276.94$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 77c | 246.14$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.59 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 6c | 191$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.54 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 134.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 29c | 131.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 32c | 117.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 73c | 106$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed No | 47c | 99.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed No | 60c | 98.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 51c | 96.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 29c | 96.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 70c | 94.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 91.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes | 33c | 91.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 48c | 86.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 78c | 78.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 49c | 75.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…f6a0backed Yes | 49c | 74.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 25c | 70.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 75c | 66.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 65c | 54.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 54c | 53.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 73c | 52.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 75c | 51.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 50c | 51.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 51c | 43.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Yes | 33c | 31.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 49c | 30.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 70c | 22.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 21.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NK Varaždin win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will NK Varaždin vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.