Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Sion (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe28faede19807207423d525525ec0e9340ce0a246b48982625dbe1e4e8b4c397
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noah FAof FC Sion, Noah FA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Noah FA | 64c | 1,387$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.12 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Noah FA | 68c | 1,303$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.51 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Sion | 39c | 1,027$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.64 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FC Sion | 35c | 814.55$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.36 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Sion | 32c | 749$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.68 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Sion | 37c | 429.65$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Noah FA | 62c | 313.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked FC Sion | 39c | 236$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Noah FA | 65c | 233$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Noah FA | 61c | 212.25$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked FC Sion | 36c | 165.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Noah FA | 64c | 113.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Noah FA | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Noah FA | 63c | 108.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Noah FA | 76c | 94.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Sion | 35c | 79.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Noah FA | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…d6f9backed FC Sion | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Noah FA | 65c | 34.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked FC Sion | 36c | 31.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Noah FA | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Sion | 36c | 29.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed FC Sion | 39c | 28.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Noah FA | 64c | 16.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Sion (-1.5)this page
- FC Sion vs. Noah FA: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Sion vs. Noah FA: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Sion vs. Noah FA: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Sion vs. Noah FA: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Sion vs. Noah FA: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Sion vs. Noah FA: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Sion vs. Noah FA: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Sion vs. Noah FA: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Sion (-2.5)Noah FA won
- Spread: Noah FA (-1.5)FC Sion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.