TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes44c72,189$31,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,611.932839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No57c40,000$22,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,2001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed No56c13,708$7,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,061.15560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No55c10,266$5,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,619.6646044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes10c7,494$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.687,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No59c5,441$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.92,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c4,476$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.912,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No54c3,265$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.871844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes22c3,200$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70458229.2%170 W · 412 L-19.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No55c1,927$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.1487745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb341…88e7backed No56c1,300$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45017460.3%105 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No57c999.93$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.973154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c991.67$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.435,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes46c852$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9221151.7%109 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No56c716.15$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.0817650%88 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3227342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Yes45c635$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No55c560$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No57c552.23$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.516446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.717358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No54c385.69$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.427231.9%23 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No56c381.74$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8777350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No74c376.62$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5418743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No55c281.8$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4719146.6%89 W · 102 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No57c272.93$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.367160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c246.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.82,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No55c243.36$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5173440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003941%16 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9014050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed No54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.414339.2%56 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed Yes44c138.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.941758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No56c137.51$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8585250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No56c102$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.12,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3995…f71dbacked Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fa6…2663backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9121854.1%118 W · 100 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.294757.4%27 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9e…4326backed Yes46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes43c82.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.281266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked No55c77.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.773464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c74.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.352,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked No56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.439555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes41c69.82$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.832142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x884b…c480backed Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No55c63.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.665056%28 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.824466%161 W · 83 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked No55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.757950.6%40 W · 39 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ecf…75d2backed No55c52.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No75c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.619165.4%125 W · 66 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe30…6d57backed No55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes40c45.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.234139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.354047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb699…6d41backed Yes46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No56c42.43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.539064.4%58 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No55c37.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6939852.5%209 W · 189 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed No55c36.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.381361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362680.8%21 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed No57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.054042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520647.6%98 W · 108 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes44c30.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.226051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.298653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.112352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes43c29.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.847671.1%54 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No55c28.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7828446.1%131 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes46c28.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.143240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ff…676fbacked Yes46c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes44c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.441,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No55c24.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.248050%40 W · 40 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x182f…de4fbacked No58c24.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Yes45c23.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.298746%40 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No55c22.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.964055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1685…69e5backed No55c20.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No55c20.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.024537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed No57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No54c19.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7932436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No63c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9210049%49 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.