Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-08-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1cc8f54118d7c8deed9cd7c221b32c312cc54e50556017062acaabb2ed1897a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 32c | 10,000$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,835.03 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 35c | 3,534$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.82 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 3,188$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 2,957$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.84 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 41c | 2,904$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.97 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 69c | 2,109$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.32 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked No | 42c | 2,093$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.63 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…c69fbacked No | 69c | 2,008$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 69c | 1,923$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 1,414$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.08 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 46c | 1,278$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.45 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 33c | 912.91$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.65 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 67c | 901.82$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.22 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 818.73$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.11 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 49c | 685$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 681.87$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.63 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 31c | 678.39$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.39 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 589.9$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.83 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 71c | 586.26$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.24 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 46c | 459.96$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.56 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 49c | 388.37$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 275$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 275$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 63c | 216.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 209.63$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 14c | 199.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 70c | 175$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 30c | 168.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 69c | 165$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Yes | 65c | 147.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 40c | 145.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 29c | 128.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0869…1b8fbacked Yes | 29c | 112.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 72c | 103.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Yes | 61c | 100.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 68c | 96.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 70c | 83.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 32c | 81.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 80.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 23c | 77.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 22c | 76.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 15c | 71.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 30c | 56.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…1fbcbacked No | 69c | 48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 42c | 43.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed No | 71c | 42.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 47c | 41.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 27c | 38.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 37c | 37.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 53c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 53c | 34.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb508…0ee6backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +216%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…67eabacked Yes | 64c | 30.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821f…c399backed Yes | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 30.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 64c | 24.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 63c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bd…30a1backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 16.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442c…3db8backed Yes | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-08-14?this page
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.