Europa Conference League · resolved market
PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e8be0beefefdf556cc048c493628b35e8a9f3ae83034d45dd4b685df4a494b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PFK CSKA Sofiaof PFK CSKA Sofia, Qarabağ Ağdam FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 48c | 2,205$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.71 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 48c | 1,300$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.97 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 50c | 890.37$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.37 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 888.21$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.71 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 49c | 680$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 674.98$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 554.66$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.19 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f73…4410backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 47c | 270.6$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…d4b0backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 270.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 237.42$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 79c | 236.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 221.86$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 175$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 125.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 49c | 114.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…4720backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 98.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d0…8a41backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 56c | 85.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 70c | 85.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 45c | 63.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 56.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 46c | 43.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 40.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 54c | 38.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…ef36backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…582fbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…6791backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…3880backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…cae2backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d6…5e9bbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 28.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f2…9a13backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed PFK CSKA Sofia | 49c | 22.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked PFK CSKA Sofia | 71c | 17.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Team to Advancethis page
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 0.5Under won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)PFK CSKA Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.