Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafe1cc333f3b719bc620d8babdb6633d745473a49af94186d6dcffb224b36eda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 4,170$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.18 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 2,017$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 23c | 1,875$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.09 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 1,713$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.55 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 1,365$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.51 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 1,346$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.35 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 1,205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 998.04$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.29 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 23c | 961.42$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.1 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 64c | 637.97$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.67 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 23c | 532.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 22c | 500$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 492.59$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 10c | 403$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 64c | 395.77$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 38c | 346$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 339.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.31 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 37c | 279.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 267.15$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…4b73backed Yes | 17c | 267.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 63c | 254.24$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 65c | 232$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 211$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…9450backed Yes | 37c | 208.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 194.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 78c | 165.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 19c | 162.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 36c | 159.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 36c | 148.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Yes | 19c | 142.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 77c | 121.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 64c | 115.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 108.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Yes | 20c | 98.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 40c | 92.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 41c | 90.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 18c | 86.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 82.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 39c | 75.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 60c | 73.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…b710backed Yes | 37c | 64.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 17c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 63c | 56.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 21c | 56.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Yes | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Yes | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 77c | 43.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 42.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 59c | 41.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 61c | 39.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 37c | 38.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 58c | 35.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 37c | 34.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed No | 77c | 33.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 39c | 32.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 37c | 28.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…8ccebacked Yes | 37c | 27.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 78c | 20.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 18.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will Noah FA vs. FC Sion end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Noah FA win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.