Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Noah FA win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17d0d883e07151108178ffe6b0652115e37e23292bde9c95cd9254f6e43075ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 8,285$5,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,447.64 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 7,094$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,972.66 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked No | 39c | 5,559$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 24c | 4,578$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.5 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 3,201$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.25 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 2,629$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.26 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 26c | 2,067$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.35 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.94 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 20c | 1,842$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.35 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 36c | 1,382$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.61 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 36c | 943.23$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.56 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Yes | 27c | 814.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 689.26$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.16 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 63c | 647.64$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.57 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…3979backed Yes | 75c | 641.08$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 548.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 541.01$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 65c | 489$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.35 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 21c | 454.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.09 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 454$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.36 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 34c | 437.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 58c | 426.7$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.66 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…4b73backed No | 18c | 414.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.72 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 16c | 358.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.28 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 35c | 300$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 68c | 290.47$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 57c | 271.48$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 34c | 258.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.58 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 78c | 239$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 49c | 228$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 42c | 214.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 36c | 205.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Yes | 27c | 204.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 57c | 199.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 35c | 164$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 20c | 147.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 34c | 127.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 33c | 123.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 18c | 121.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 32c | 121.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 35c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 35c | 103.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 41c | 97.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 47c | 92.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 33c | 85.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 34c | 79.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed No | 66c | 76.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 34c | 75.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 80c | 74.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 33c | 67.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed No | 20c | 64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 62c | 63.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 34c | 62.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…c28bbacked Yes | 41c | 60.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 24c | 59.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 50c | 52.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yes | 23c | 49.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 46.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 33c | 37.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 34c | 36.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 64c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 45c | 30.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 37c | 28.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Noah FA win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-06?No won
- Will Noah FA vs. FC Sion end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.