TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,546 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.9919148.2%92 W · 99 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes39c2,391$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.4620955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No52c1,646$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.5687837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No5c1,208$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0223644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6f1…eb10backed No63c1,118$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-63.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes38c1,116$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.472,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes38c1,027$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.7440649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x839b…26d3backed No61c900$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e7c…cb0abacked No61c900$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4375…fce2backed No61c900$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+187.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc491…4d61backed Yes28c892.53$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No71c789.28$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.392,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes38c729.04$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.9134151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e9…b14bbacked No54c550.28$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.852536%9 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes38c528.94$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.947941.8%33 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No9c488$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.926098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No62c435.56$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6646047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes35c433.69$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.6917436.2%63 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No60c415.69$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.630241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No64c405.42$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.2118636.6%68 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes36c400$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4818460.9%112 W · 72 L+13.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No64c330.8$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5265651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed No61c299.98$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.992339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No67c241.1$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7817558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x601f…76adbacked Yes30c232.2$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.562222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No56c230$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.172,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes33c215.64$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5118139.8%72 W · 109 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0745…21a7backed Yes38c197.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9139…30a9backed Yes35c187.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.225556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No49c181.97$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6415445.5%70 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked No65c179$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8322623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes38c177.25$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.913556.3%76 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes26c173.55$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.51,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No62c169.77$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6515455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No21c163.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.458926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No57c158.6$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1964850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No62c151.74$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0823750.6%120 W · 117 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a2…a5ffbacked Yes52c151.15$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1463…5ea7backed No58c150.86$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf2…f765backed Yes46c144.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.848755.2%48 W · 39 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No59c142$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3343835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes38c137$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9412352.8%65 W · 58 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No67c133$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4928554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes30c125.77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2235033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No62c110$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.24,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes37c101.71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.632,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017953.6%96 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…5961backed Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624930.6%15 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No70c98.93$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3745736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee7…fae2backed No61c98.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbf…4dddbacked Yes29c97.53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.539139.6%36 W · 55 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No54c94.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.994650%23 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…8725backed Yes28c89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.081844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No77c88$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0467354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes30c86.51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6142737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes72c86$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7717138%65 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes38c82.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9611255.4%62 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed No19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes46c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.525244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No62c75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.514055.7%78 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.076142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No78c72$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.161,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes22c70$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.912936.4%47 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No62c68$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2413060.8%79 W · 51 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes28c67.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7211241.1%46 W · 66 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b5c…d18dbacked Yes40c63.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.761428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0326…370fbacked Yes42c62.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No46c60.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3914858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No75c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1928256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…8fa3backed Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.824626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes39c55.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac0…6112backed No59c54.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No63c53.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5712735.4%45 W · 82 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No68c53$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0466239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes25c51.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4442640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397639.5%30 W · 46 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed No68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420539%80 W · 125 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.520652.9%109 W · 97 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5383…2294backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7db…6688backed Yes33c44.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6416740.7%68 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ba…31dbbacked No58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No27c41.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2522633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No72c36.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612847.7%61 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No67c33.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3523245.7%106 W · 126 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No31c33.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.379455.3%52 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1946…6367backed No61c33.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.268756.3%49 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb2…b26cbacked No62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204461.4%27 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdff7…94d5backed No78c30.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No50c30.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210164.4%65 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fee…2e1abacked No58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No68c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2119874.7%148 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed No78c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.825944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.