Fifa International · resolved market
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c11bdf12420879868dda8280b4ff2f3e9835f1f9e92426516e760c3569b34cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,589$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 22c | 1,377$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.13 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 79c | 1,022$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 726$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 38c | 516.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6415…e022backed No | 79c | 507.49$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 44c | 458.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.46 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 55c | 420.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 32c | 400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…ae97backed Yes | 21c | 398.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 44c | 376.25$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.49 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 21c | 372.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Yes | 20c | 365.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 62c | 363.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 57c | 360$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 56c | 357.85$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.3 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 80c | 244.78$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yes | 20c | 222.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 55c | 218$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 24c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 22c | 195.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 70c | 193.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 78c | 158.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 106.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 76c | 99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 40c | 95.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 80c | 91.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 35c | 91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked No | 79c | 84.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…30a9backed Yes | 40c | 61.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdc…a595backed Yes | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 52.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 51.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fe…005cbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Yes | 45c | 48.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No | 75c | 43.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…1de1backed Yes | 35c | 42.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 79c | 38.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 42c | 35.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e9…cde3backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…4e3bbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 29.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…94d5backed No | 56c | 29.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 59c | 29.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 29.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2835…28debacked Yes | 42c | 29.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec49…e6f0backed Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…c4e3backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 56c | 22.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 80c | 15.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…4d46backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…620bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Colombia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Colombia be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.