Fifa International · resolved market
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57e11e939aa215818dffddb949b16b020e1eee4d621ca7c18e5409d471188d65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 58c | 1,830$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.94 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…4d61backed Yes | 40c | 1,503$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,252$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 36c | 1,106$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.88 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 63c | 1,028$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.18 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 33c | 952.79$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.91 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 42c | 582.38$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.5 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…7fe3backed Yes | 8c | 542.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 64c | 498.43$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.65 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 31c | 444.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…f765backed Yes | 45c | 417.47$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.13 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 40c | 409.45$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 25c | 296.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 62c | 291.81$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed Yes | 30c | 290.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Yes | 42c | 268$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…65a4backed Yes | 21c | 255$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f58…1118backed Yes | 37c | 253.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 64c | 249.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed Yes | 42c | 248.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…2729backed Yes | 37c | 245$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 241.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 34c | 234$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…9342backed Yes | 38c | 224.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 62c | 204.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 195.42$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 75c | 188$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 185.54$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 173.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 158.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…062abacked Yes | 32c | 154.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 152.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 152.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 63c | 146.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…4a7dbacked Yes | 31c | 145.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…3d2dbacked Yes | 37c | 144.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…30a9backed Yes | 36c | 140.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…fce2backed Yes | 37c | 136.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b5…1a84backed Yes | 37c | 123.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 67c | 117.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 45c | 110.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 78c | 109.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 108$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…8847backed Yes | 41c | 107.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30d…5090backed Yes | 45c | 105.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 69c | 105.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 104.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 62c | 99.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed Yes | 36c | 98.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 98.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 62c | 90.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 59c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 64.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…5b3fbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 39c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…ac82backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 48.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 67c | 47.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 61c | 43.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 54c | 37.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…5691backed Yes | 40c | 37.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…088fbacked No | 68c | 35.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 59c | 33.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…419dbacked Yes | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…bf88backed Yes | 39c | 27.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colombia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will Colombia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.