Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Sarah Mildren vs Destanee Aiava
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8af4873bfa7c4f792c7a8cf2910a50c8e12720213a632c4436b2331a6f8245a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Destanee Aiavaof Sarah Mildren, Destanee Aiava
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sarah Mildren | 2c | 23,803$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.02 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…ecf1backed Sarah Mildren | 22c | 6,479$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…d276backed Sarah Mildren | 3c | 3,711$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.37 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Sarah Mildren | 11c | 3,189$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.39 | 340 | 52.1%177 W · 163 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sarah Mildren | 7c | 2,924$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.82 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Sarah Mildren | 8c | 2,521$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.53 | 249 | 28.9%72 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Sarah Mildren | 9c | 2,000$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.42 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Sarah Mildren | 9c | 1,259$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sarah Mildren | 10c | 715.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Sarah Mildren | 12c | 603.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Sarah Mildren | 10c | 587.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 360 | 32.5%117 W · 243 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sarah Mildren | 6c | 583$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sarah Mildren | 12c | 437.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sarah Mildren | 13c | 413.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Sarah Mildren | 4c | 393$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sarah Mildren | 13c | 358.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sarah Mildren | 13c | 341.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sarah Mildren | 11c | 250.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Destanee Aiava | 77c | 165$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sarah Mildren | 6c | 163.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…4574backed Sarah Mildren | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Destanee Aiava | 71c | 93.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a0…1257backed Destanee Aiava | 79c | 16.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.