WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bd0909b8aa7763d1722fec2b60be3cd9e6fba092cd4b8b2e20df83c2fed719d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 2,171$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.78 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 2,156$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.35 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 51c | 865.48$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.4 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…a3cdbacked Under | 63c | 858.24$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 37c | 764$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.68 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 52c | 256$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 52c | 219.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 44c | 214.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 49c | 134.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 43c | 130.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 113.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9984…91e3backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 55c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Over | 52c | 82.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 69.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 50.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 48c | 40.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Over | 55c | 22.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 22.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas WingsNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.