WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7240d82cff56ceced5e29d9feeb5234b0fa5f3398313f0f524b28a630d45f6d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 50c | 4,682$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.09 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…a3cdbacked Under | 64c | 4,504$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 43c | 2,148$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.27 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 25c | 862.01$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.68 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 49c | 745.14$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.12 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 33c | 480.89$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.09 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Over | 51c | 431.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 44c | 373.95$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.92 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 49c | 267.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over | 25c | 243.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 45c | 229.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 53c | 218$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 202.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Over | 27c | 141.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Over | 37c | 106$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 96.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Over | 24c | 90$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 79.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Under | 49c | 60.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Over | 43c | 40.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Over | 44c | 37.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas WingsNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.