MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x957628bd43b20774165c54475719fca4d02af3b05847d5c0735be2e0172a25b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 51c | 203,921$103,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,689.37 | 486 | 48.8%237 W · 249 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 49c | 61,107$29,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,164.45 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 22,535$11,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,309.9 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 280 | 53.2%149 W · 131 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 18,346$8,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,356.46 | 928 | 54%501 W · 427 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 17,554$8,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,952.34 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 15,459$7,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,884.18 | 1,593 | 48.6%774 W · 819 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 12,315$6,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,151.36 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 49c | 12,121$5,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,181.6 | 801 | 47.7%382 W · 419 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Over | 50c | 11,797$5,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,898.49 | 284 | 50.7%144 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 8,172$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.13 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 50c | 7,993$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.16 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 6,078$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.93 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,305 | 50.2%655 W · 650 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 506 | 52.6%266 W · 240 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 4,652$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.91 | 4,401 | 47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L | -76.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 3,897$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.63 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 3,843$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 50c | 3,006$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490 | 652 | 52.5%342 W · 310 L | +28.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 51c | 2,003$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.37 | 883 | 50.4%445 W · 438 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 50c | 1,835$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.32 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 5c | 1,668$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 49c | 1,365$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.25 | 1,671 | 49.1%820 W · 851 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 2,319 | 51.1%1,184 W · 1,135 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 49c | 951.53$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.28 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 825$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.55 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 52c | 820.6$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.87 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 52c | 788.85$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 51c | 784.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 301 | 50.8%153 W · 148 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 50c | 534$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.76 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 50c | 502.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,849 | 50.7%937 W · 912 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 500$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 41c | 463.79$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 3,465 | 51.2%1,774 W · 1,691 L | +105.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 434$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 50c | 386.46$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 49c | 344.78$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 49c | 319.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.61 | 972 | 53.1%516 W · 456 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 5c | 246$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 574 | 46.9%269 W · 305 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 49c | 245$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 52c | 203.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…f20ebacked Over | 38c | 191.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 6c | 189$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2,150 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,071 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 170$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 59c | 164.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 49c | 158.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 52c | 155.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 1,224 | 54%661 W · 563 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 49c | 153.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 482 | 50.6%244 W · 238 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 136.51$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 51c | 132.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 464 | 45.7%212 W · 252 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 49c | 127.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 49c | 96.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 49c | 89.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 2,423 | 49.9%1,208 W · 1,215 L | +20.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 35c | 77.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…b64dbacked Under | 49c | 75.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 49c | 70.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…3403backed Over | 56c | 67.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 49c | 64.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 51c | 55.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 1,292 | 56.8%734 W · 558 L | +31.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 5,848 | 43.7%2,556 W · 3,292 L | -189.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Under | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 49c | 50.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…4271backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Over | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 51c | 39.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 1,894 | 49.3%934 W · 960 L | +24.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Under | 56c | 38.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Under | 50c | 31.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 45c | 30.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…6bb6backed Under | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 902 | 48.4%437 W · 465 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 51c | 28.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 72c | 21.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1,960 | 41.4%812 W · 1,148 L | -25.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 48c | 21.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 427 | 48.2%206 W · 221 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 321 | 53.9%173 W · 148 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Under | 50c | 20.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.