MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe47836780217129323f1b1ca5ae9101845f44386a58a5f080ab79d193fe788ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 41c | 4,714$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.53 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 42c | 2,839$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.23 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 1,880$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.9 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 959.79$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 43c | 949.06$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.96 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 44c | 856.88$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.99 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Over | 57c | 855$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 66c | 744.73$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 55c | 722.28$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.25 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 699.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.35 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 57c | 652.33$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.83 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 509.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.37 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 44c | 375$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Over | 66c | 358.33$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.45 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 55c | 358$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.69 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 288$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.96 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 41c | 262$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.58 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 49c | 215.91$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 44c | 186.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 42c | 169.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 38c | 151.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 55c | 151$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 57c | 149$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 57c | 140.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 129.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 57c | 87.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Over | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed Over | 58c | 67.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a6…bfeebacked Over | 58c | 58.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 54c | 54.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…5eb0backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…4271backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 38c | 32.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 42c | 30.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 53c | 25.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 70c | 23.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.