MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd80e836a41eb2044a989ff310b774d7ffc98dea28b8478857b310fcb36dea12d

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $92,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $92,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under	45c	64,124$28,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,855.66	550	53.1%292 W · 258 L	+20.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	55c	38,502$21,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,339.02	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	66c	7,062$4,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,415.69	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under	44c	5,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	489	52.8%258 W · 231 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	55c	4,221$2,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,907.7	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	55c	3,998$2,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,794.13	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	61c	2,131$1,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.68	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	47c	1,932$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.32	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over	53c	1,770$938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$831.8	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Over	55c	1,500$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675	129	39.5%51 W · 78 L	-11.1wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	55c	1,354$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.5	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	52c	1,046$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$502.12	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	55c	955$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.75	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under	45c	888.89$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Over	55c	740.35$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.16	99	56.6%56 W · 43 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Over	56c	718.5$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.28	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over	56c	577.86$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.26	473	50.7%240 W · 233 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	48c	523$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.04	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	56c	519$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.36	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Over	55c	499.99$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.8wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over	56c	446$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.24	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Under	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	46c	397.9$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.81	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under	46c	369$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.66	952	52.9%504 W · 448 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under	46c	326.09$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	243	50.2%122 W · 121 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	47c	234.06$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.01	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under	45c	198$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.1	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e0…3741backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	163	49.1%80 W · 83 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Over	55c	181.8$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.81	461	52.1%240 W · 221 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over	55c	180.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.44	342	55.3%189 W · 153 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70e9…a9d5backed Over	54c	180$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.8	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	45c	159.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.82	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765b…5043backed Over	53c	150.94$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.94	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over	55c	150.61$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.77	488	51.6%252 W · 236 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	54c	147.38$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.8	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Over	55c	127.26$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.27	536	55.8%299 W · 237 L	+22.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Over	55c	127.26$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.27	224	50%112 W · 112 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	61c	126.27$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.45	733	55.3%405 W · 328 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	55c	109.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	770	50.5%389 W · 381 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Under	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over	55c	92.44$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.6	1,245	56.9%708 W · 537 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	46c	90.7$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under	48c	89.32$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.43	527	50.1%264 W · 263 L	+19.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over	55c	89.18$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.13	287	49.5%142 W · 145 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over	55c	88.88$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	291	41.6%121 W · 170 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	55c	81$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.45	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Under	47c	78.72$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	476	46.2%220 W · 256 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	56c	76.3$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.94	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	66c	75.19$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.19	341	39.9%136 W · 205 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Over	55c	72.72$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.72	462	55.8%258 W · 204 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over	55c	72.72$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.72	285	53%151 W · 134 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	47c	72.12$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.64	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Over	66c	68.43$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.41	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Over	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	158	41.8%66 W · 92 L	-12.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe983…93bfbacked Under	24c	60.3$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.41	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under	48c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	1,753	50.8%890 W · 863 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed Under	46c	57.47$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.44	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf247…59f9backed Under	46c	54.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	46c	51.3$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.35	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over	53c	50.57$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.77	312	58%181 W · 131 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	55c	50.53$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.84	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	46c	45.26$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.82	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over	50c	40.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	313	43.5%136 W · 177 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under	46c	37.48$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.24	172	55.8%96 W · 76 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over	68c	34.57$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	424	51.9%220 W · 204 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5998…b5a8backed Over	63c	31.53$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Under	48c	30.13$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	48c	30.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under	47c	30.05$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.12	674	44.1%297 W · 377 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	68c	29.07$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.3	946	48.9%463 W · 483 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Under	48c	29$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.78	140	47.9%67 W · 73 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over	48c	27.2$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.02	705	46.8%330 W · 375 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	56c	26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.56	788	54.6%430 W · 358 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Under	45c	26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over	51c	25.81$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.65	424	48.1%204 W · 220 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Over	55c	23.81$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.81	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-8.9wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under	46c	23.07$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.61	221	51.6%114 W · 107 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…a79abacked Over	54c	22.81$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.49	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Over	66c	22.05$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	132	60.6%80 W · 52 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Over	58c	21.54$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.94	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1690…4bf8backed Over	56c	20.67$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.17	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	1,814	49.1%891 W · 923 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5this page
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)Colorado Rockies won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event