MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f2690c1e2db773d6c7c7ff675f041cbb700a9942561de90c23a2facc8a35073
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 11,935$6,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,036.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…aed8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 6,052$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.34 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…396abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 4,615$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +354.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 3,706$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 3,479$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.91 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 3,251$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.61 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 2,566$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 1,955$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 1,853$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.27 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 1,732$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.05 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 900.48$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.24 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 700$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 489.82$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 489.48$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.43 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 435.09$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 409.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 360$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…f35fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 228$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 173.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 167.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 165.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 153$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 145$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 133$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 78.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 72.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 71.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 59.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 46.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 40.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 36.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 33.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 33.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 31.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies | 42c | 30.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 29.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 26.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.