MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7c1f2f641832f50662a646924afcb092e09568cc0da6e141b0b52d2c192cd17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 3,754$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 63c | 3,620$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 2,607$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 2,281$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.8 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 1,758$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.96 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 1,391$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.55 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 1,369$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.35 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 481.98$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 364.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 288.77$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 228$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 222.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 199$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed Colorado Rockies | 6c | 194.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 167.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 99.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 91.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 75.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 74.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 72.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 40.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 38.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 35.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 33.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 28.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 24.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…f290backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…356fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.