MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x192fa727784788bdf0730d7c796d313f1064a53bc63d6f7c196d32f368e44e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 9,720$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.96 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 45c | 8,094$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.23 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 45c | 5,550$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.5 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 45c | 5,063$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.39 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 55c | 1,828$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.4 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 1,519$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 55c | 1,024$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 944.72$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 55c | 913.36$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.35 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 727.96$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.45 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 54c | 471$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.34 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 55c | 440.74$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 54c | 304$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 55c | 282$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 40c | 189.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 50c | 187$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 60c | 183$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 54c | 148$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 55c | 144$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 54c | 142$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 55c | 131$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 106.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 55c | 102.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 55c | 102.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 57c | 94.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 39c | 86.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 55c | 82.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 54c | 76.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 55c | 58.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 55c | 52.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 55c | 52.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a10…2a2ebacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 43c | 42.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 55c | 41.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 42c | 38.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 59c | 29.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Over | 53c | 29.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 45c | 28.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Under | 55c | 26.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Over | 49c | 23.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 56c | 23.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 53c | 22.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 61c | 19.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Under | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.