Lol · resolved market
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44f03fd275b6eb18df5727b1599200ad8603f7a19e87cf1241f26f13baf79c3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCAM Esports Clubof FALKE Esports, UCAM Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed FALKE Esports | 12c | 5,808$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.04 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed FALKE Esports | 11c | 5,529$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.55 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed FALKE Esports | 10c | 5,049$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.98 | 191 | 22.5%43 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed FALKE Esports | 11c | 4,305$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.43 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed FALKE Esports | 13c | 3,047$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed FALKE Esports | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed FALKE Esports | 11c | 2,234$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.71 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed FALKE Esports | 11c | 1,340$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed FALKE Esports | 14c | 1,253$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed FALKE Esports | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,520 | 3.3%50 W · 1,470 L | -54.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed FALKE Esports | 11c | 1,027$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed FALKE Esports | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed FALKE Esports | 17c | 959.82$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed FALKE Esports | 10c | 885.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked FALKE Esports | 11c | 859.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 304 | 37.8%115 W · 189 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…3543backed FALKE Esports | 12c | 786.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked FALKE Esports | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed FALKE Esports | 13c | 715.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed FALKE Esports | 13c | 703.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed FALKE Esports | 16c | 696.18$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed FALKE Esports | 3c | 666.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 566 | 10.4%59 W · 507 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed FALKE Esports | 12c | 527.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed FALKE Esports | 12c | 503.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 548 | 29.6%162 W · 386 L | -36.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed FALKE Esports | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked FALKE Esports | 11c | 444.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 593 | 41.8%248 W · 345 L | -16.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed FALKE Esports | 11c | 440$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed FALKE Esports | 7c | 399.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 974 | 52.5%511 W · 463 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked FALKE Esports | 11c | 387.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed FALKE Esports | 13c | 384.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed FALKE Esports | 11c | 379.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 313 | 21.1%66 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked FALKE Esports | 11c | 355.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked FALKE Esports | 12c | 321$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 440 | 51.4%226 W · 214 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked FALKE Esports | 10c | 317$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed FALKE Esports | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed FALKE Esports | 12c | 296.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked FALKE Esports | 12c | 291.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed FALKE Esports | 12c | 257.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked FALKE Esports | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked FALKE Esports | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed FALKE Esports | 13c | 217.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked FALKE Esports | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed FALKE Esports | 11c | 130.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked FALKE Esports | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed FALKE Esports | 12c | 116.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked FALKE Esports | 9c | 113$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 874 | 43.1%377 W · 497 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FALKE Esports | 10c | 105.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FALKE Esports | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed FALKE Esports | 12c | 91.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked UCAM Esports Club | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)UCAM Esports Club won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.