Lol · resolved market

LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Season

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b448da9512376360a6b93662e31412fd9559979b5d76d2a3e1cb01c949e2b8f

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: UCAM Esports Clubof FALKE Esports, UCAM Esports Club
Resolved: Jul 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $79,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $79,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,005 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x472b…5d5fbacked FALKE Esports	6c	34,286$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed FALKE Esports	5c	4,790$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.52	192	32.8%63 W · 129 L	-17.2wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fb2…5c04backed FALKE Esports	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	252	2%5 W · 247 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-93.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed FALKE Esports	7c	2,976$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.34	414	33.6%139 W · 275 L	-30.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed FALKE Esports	5c	2,582$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.13	122	26.2%32 W · 90 L	-11.8wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed FALKE Esports	5c	1,223$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.31	471	36.9%174 W · 297 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked FALKE Esports	6c	1,200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.99	102	43.1%44 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3f…3543backed FALKE Esports	6c	1,089$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.89	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-4.4wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed FALKE Esports	8c	1,059$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.75	1,399	44.9%628 W · 771 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b80…e5dfbacked FALKE Esports	7c	1,048$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	102	23.5%24 W · 78 L	-13.3wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed FALKE Esports	6c	1,011$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.64	201	36.8%74 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked FALKE Esports	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	188	41%77 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed FALKE Esports	6c	999.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed FALKE Esports	5c	989.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	313	21.1%66 W · 247 L	-11.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed FALKE Esports	6c	870.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.96	1,852	39.8%738 W · 1,114 L	-64.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed FALKE Esports	10c	814.61$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.22	548	29.6%162 W · 386 L	-36.3wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked FALKE Esports	5c	787.18$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.24	248	36.7%91 W · 157 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8412…55f3backed FALKE Esports	7c	785.71$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked FALKE Esports	5c	744$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.26	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed FALKE Esports	7c	686.81$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.96	191	22.5%43 W · 148 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked FALKE Esports	9c	571.41$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.45	244	34.4%84 W · 160 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked FALKE Esports	6c	541.99$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.27	373	43.4%162 W · 211 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c15…5b4bbacked FALKE Esports	7c	510$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked FALKE Esports	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…13dabacked FALKE Esports	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf408…afe0backed FALKE Esports	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.7wins	-0.28per pick	44cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed FALKE Esports	5c	459.04$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	135	42.2%57 W · 78 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed FALKE Esports	6c	451.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.1	240	38.3%92 W · 148 L	-15.5wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed FALKE Esports	6c	361.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.46	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FALKE Esports	5c	323.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.18	2,540	39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L	-79.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed FALKE Esports	9c	310.43$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.39	186	48.9%91 W · 95 L	+12.9wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed FALKE Esports	5c	248.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+43%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69e7…96a6backed FALKE Esports	6c	245$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked FALKE Esports	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1,456	13.2%192 W · 1,264 L	-111.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed FALKE Esports	6c	174.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	549	32.4%178 W · 371 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed FALKE Esports	10c	170.4$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	449	38.1%171 W · 278 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonthis page
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)UCAM Esports Club won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Season

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event