MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56ec87046a910843de2b83ab0e1f2a0b3cdee947b7c450cf36cddeb219a7cef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $871,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $875,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $871,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 411,110$193,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217,888.21 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 111,796$57,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,687.25 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 97,735$51,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,799.36 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 61,856$30,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,544.39 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 61,126$32,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,664.74 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,800 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,799.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 45,624$20,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,702.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago White Sox | 10c | 28,880$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 21,290$11,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,283.83 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Houston Astros | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…aed8backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 19,275$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Houston Astros | 46c | 16,285$7,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,793.97 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 15,916$7,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,802.52 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 9,654$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014.38 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 46c | 9,392$4,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,109.67 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 8,799$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674.62 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 5,878$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.49 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 46c | 5,364$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.42 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 5,257$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.31 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Houston Astros | 49c | 5,155$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.87 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Houston Astros | 49c | 4,124$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.09 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 3,825$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.3 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Houston Astros | 49c | 3,793$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.32 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 3,410$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.26 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 2,828$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.76 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 2,394$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.67 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Chicago White Sox | 1c | 2,315$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.84 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 2,091$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.14 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago White Sox | 28c | 2,087$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.96 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Houston Astros | 47c | 2,054$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 2,048$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.44 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Houston Astros | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 1,756$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.7 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Chicago White Sox | 7c | 1,459$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 51c | 1,450$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.43 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 1,436$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago White Sox | 27c | 1,357$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.92 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 1,332$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Chicago White Sox | 22c | 1,326$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.55 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 79c | 1,323$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 8c | 1,216$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 1,215$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 1,207$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.71 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Chicago White Sox | 2c | 1,123$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,102$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.26 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Houston Astros | 65c | 1,070$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.46 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…0f3dbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 50cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 960.71$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.57 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 943$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Houston Astros | 49c | 917.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.11 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Houston Astros | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 805.57$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.01 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Houston Astros | 62c | 794.78$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros | 67c | 755.8$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.56 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 736.43$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.02 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 695.96$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Houston Astros | 79c | 648.61$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Houston Astros | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…76c6backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 575$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 571.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago White Sox | 6c | 528.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 501$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.53 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Houston Astros | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 482.97$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 46c | 469.07$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.3 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Chicago White Sox | 8c | 467.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 467.04$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 460$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 46c | 409$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.86 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 51c | 403.81$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.17 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Chicago White Sox | 17c | 372.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 372$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 371.65$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 366.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Chicago White Sox | 17c | 355.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 351.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 344.68$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.68 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.