MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x373e87edac24dde1e2bd0ebc35879380ead1bdfb64945dbc5605c410b8c8630d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Houston Astros, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 210,325$107,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,934.86 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,999.77 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 27,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 46c | 25,100$11,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,498.53 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 21,838$11,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,597.24 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Houston Astros | 50c | 16,370$8,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,185.19 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago White Sox | 65c | 15,081$9,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,278.45 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 10,000$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Houston Astros | 29c | 10,000$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.19 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros | 47c | 9,998$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.15 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 79c | 9,447$7,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.54 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 8,932$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.1 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago White Sox | 76c | 7,657$5,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.56 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Houston Astros | 42c | 3,600$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 44c | 2,507$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.37 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 2,378$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.41 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 2,153$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.59 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 2,118$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.88 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Houston Astros | 50c | 2,051$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Houston Astros | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,755$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.18 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 77c | 1,499$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.97 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 1,395$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.58 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,280$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 1,265$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.14 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,246$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.45 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,080$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,044$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.22 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago White Sox | 77c | 960$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.26 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 945.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.35 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 900.66$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.32 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Houston Astros | 33c | 863.64$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 824$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.04 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Houston Astros | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 15c | 749.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 627.55$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.22 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Chicago White Sox | 75c | 580.38$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.59 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 46c | 542.54$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.75 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c84…6a34backed Houston Astros | 50c | 525$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 517.76$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.39 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 17.1%30 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 31c | 499.9$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.97 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Houston Astros | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Chicago White Sox | 66c | 416$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa788…f6e8backed Houston Astros | 50c | 408$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Houston Astros | 33c | 399.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…82d2backed Houston Astros | 51c | 392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 49c | 388.53$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.18 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 341.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 27c | 328.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 323.04$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Houston Astros | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Houston Astros | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Houston Astros | 61c | 267$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Houston Astros | 45c | 262.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 255.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Houston Astros | 50c | 255.26$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 254.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…f35fbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 254$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 252.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 1,306 | 50.7%662 W · 644 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Houston Astros | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 239$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 238$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 235.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 227$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…9a2bbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 215.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Houston Astros | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 477 | 52.8%252 W · 225 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 199.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 199.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 195$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Houston Astros | 49c | 193.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…31cebacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…4245backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 177.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…625cbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 227 | 62.1%141 W · 86 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 166.35$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 165$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 50c | 155.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 154.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 152.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Houston Astros | 49c | 152$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 150.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 138.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Houston Astros | 48c | 137.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 324 | 34.6%112 W · 212 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Houston Astros | 48c | 130.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 581 | 60.4%351 W · 230 L | +30.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…8d7bbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 124.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Houston Astros | 33c | 117.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 12.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 13.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.