MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00d4b07eaf076b738ae0cfd17b4fb76125b045eadc22f09d6249b9b34ca7542b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Over | 45c | 24,076$10,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,236.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 55c | 20,990$11,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,529.21 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 15c | 9,497$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.55 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 7,319$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,533.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 50c | 6,432$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.82 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 1,969$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.62 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 47c | 1,369$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.66 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 55c | 780$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Over | 63c | 648.74$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.03 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 46c | 555$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.23 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 15c | 508.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Under | 56c | 447.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 56c | 401$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.56 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 305.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.59 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 298$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 46c | 274.76$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.68 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 51c | 254.66$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 45c | 217.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Over | 45c | 188.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 39c | 186.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 46c | 152$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 62c | 140.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 62c | 139.05$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Over | 62c | 137.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 62c | 127.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 53c | 125.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 47c | 125.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 121.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 108.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 100.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Over | 45c | 77.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 62c | 70.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 62c | 70.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 46c | 70.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 62c | 64.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 47c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…4648backed Over | 45c | 53.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 54c | 45.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 62c | 39.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 39.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Over | 46c | 26.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 22.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Over | 45c | 22.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 61c | 19.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 12.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 13.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.