MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x265018ebf5a0320a5cf0f177fd8c913b7e3294a0088ebb04a1c6c4a25f1e10e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,227,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,230,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,227,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 319,507$128,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190,759.58 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Los Angeles Angels | 24c | 99,897$24,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,223 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 94,265$46,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,189.74 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 65,627$33,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,133.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 51c | 51,000$26,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,989.9 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Houston Astros | 44c | 45,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 26,329$12,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,901.21 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 69c | 25,321$17,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,903.19 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 24,766$12,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,135.45 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 21,949$10,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,755.05 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 21,276$13,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,752.32 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 20c | 21,100$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,789.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 20,200$9,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,898 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 20,090$8,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,625.84 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Houston Astros | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.95 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 19,276$12,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,039.21 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Houston Astros | 24c | 17,514$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,393.87 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Los Angeles Angels | 16c | 17,003$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.33 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 15,370$7,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,531.3 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 15,007$10,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,330.32 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 12,983$7,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,406.08 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 10,585$5,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,180.87 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Houston Astros | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Houston Astros | 52c | 9,713$5,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,644.64 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 8,599$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.39 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Houston Astros | 50c | 6,337$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.26 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 5,309$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.2 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Houston Astros | 14c | 4,921$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213.97 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 4,729$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 36c | 4,255$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.55 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 4,195$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 51c | 4,095$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 4,027$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.44 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 3,998$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.02 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b2…f2d7backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 3,858$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Los Angeles Angels | 10c | 3,519$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.71 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Los Angeles Angels | 16c | 3,448$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.4 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 50c | 3,443$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.29 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Houston Astros | 21c | 3,209$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.96 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 46c | 3,060$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.05 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 2,989$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.56 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Houston Astros | 32c | 2,850$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 2,692$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.27 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Houston Astros | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 2,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros | 39c | 2,473$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Houston Astros | 34c | 2,385$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 2,380$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 2,313$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.91 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.84 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Houston Astros | 24c | 2,292$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.66 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 2,003$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.56 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 1,993$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.58 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 1,890$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.46 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 1,787$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.25 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 1,776$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 1,749$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.72 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Los Angeles Angels | 1c | 1,742$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 33c | 1,711$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.39 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Los Angeles Angels | 21c | 1,640$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.07 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Los Angeles Angels | 8c | 1,625$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Houston Astros | 79c | 1,585$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.33 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 1,299$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.58 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 1,298$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.02 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,208$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 1,180$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.2 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 37c | 1,126$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.69 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Houston Astros | 73c | 1,103$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.56 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.21 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 1,010$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 1,005$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.45 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Los Angeles Angels | 26c | 1,000$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 1,000$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.43 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Houston Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 71c | 999.97$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.98 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…036abacked Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 970.93$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.63 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 953.27$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.94 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 923.09$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.89 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Houston Astros | 66c | 911.64$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.65 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 900$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 899.12$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.57 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Houston Astros | 75c | 849.27$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.27 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245d…6a05backed Los Angeles Angels | 11c | 848.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 797.84$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.43 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5678…b665backed Houston Astros | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.