MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aaa0f79dc7e824f8edf4b73972546ea1199e4b9683c112236571576a4f1e276
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 36c | 45,470$16,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,214.75 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 60c | 13,250$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 40c | 9,427$3,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,678.83 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 28c | 8,588$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,206.06 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 3,887$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 40c | 3,302$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 34c | 2,901$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Under | 54c | 2,435$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.74 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 53c | 2,007$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.59 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Under | 3c | 1,698$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 4c | 1,621$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 59c | 1,097$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.92 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 60c | 916.7$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.7 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 40c | 915.7$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.28 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 59c | 811.5$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.77 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 717.53$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 40c | 704.66$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.86 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 32c | 700.38$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.2 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 58c | 681.39$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 56c | 584.09$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.77 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 40c | 550.02$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 41c | 540.05$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.42 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 40c | 500$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.56 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 27c | 477.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.14 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 67c | 422.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Under | 50c | 366.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 40c | 359.53$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.39 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 22c | 340.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.77 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 40c | 252$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 40c | 248$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 75c | 191.78$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…812bbacked Under | 31c | 189.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab4…99e3backed Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 33c | 172.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Over | 49c | 155.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 34c | 145.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 40c | 144$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 141.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Over | 20c | 139.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.03 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 59c | 123.89$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabaf…8651backed Over | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 37c | 94.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde11…ef87backed Over | 60c | 91.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 40c | 88.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…e503backed Over | 60c | 79.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 35c | 68.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 41c | 67.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 23c | 55.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Over | 35c | 51.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under | 72c | 51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 41c | 50.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 44c | 47.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 34c | 43.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Over | 29c | 42.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 41c | 33.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2530…8876backed Under | 56c | 33.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 57c | 30.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 70c | 30.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 26.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 41c | 25.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 24.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…1196backed Under | 67c | 19.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6972…b871backed Under | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…406bbacked Under | 72c | 17.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 68c | 15.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsHouston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.