TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Resilienceof Team Resilience, Xtreme Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$756,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$951,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $756,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming48c145,386$69,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,958.771,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Resilience53c41,730$22,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,577.9223435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Resilience51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,699.9947646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Team Resilience53c22,501$12,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,496.8721155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Resilience60c21,717$13,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,666.7430667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fb…675ebacked Xtreme Gaming48c21,099$10,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,146.575834.5%20 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72f0…6be8backed Xtreme Gaming51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.971957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1896…a7d6backed Team Resilience54c16,837$9,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,745.533043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Xtreme Gaming45c16,086$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,317.912348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Resilience51c14,108$7,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,850.6880256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Xtreme Gaming41c12,682$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20031936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Team Resilience51c12,000$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8807548%36 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Resilience54c11,119$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,118.9453451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Resilience62c10,086$6,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,868.1832549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed Team Resilience52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8002676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+41.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Resilience55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50089741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a21…9853backed Xtreme Gaming41c9,948$4,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,063.554050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Xtreme Gaming46c8,847$4,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,072.9417452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Resilience65c8,567$5,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.19658.3%56 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed Xtreme Gaming38c8,102$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050.0516553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Xtreme Gaming43c7,242$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.5671143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Resilience71c6,997$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.88348.2%40 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience59c6,649$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,725.7153764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Xtreme Gaming31c6,070$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.6941242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team Resilience50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00030452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Resilience53c5,962$3,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.589339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76fc…d3adbacked Xtreme Gaming52c5,551$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed Team Resilience55c5,360$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.610458.7%61 W · 43 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Xtreme Gaming41c5,248$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.7535850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63bc…4179backed Xtreme Gaming35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7508834.1%30 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…050fbacked Team Resilience57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1503951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8495…550ebacked Team Resilience53c4,772$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.039052.2%47 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Resilience54c4,603$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.2469644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Xtreme Gaming36c4,265$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.45137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Resilience49c4,261$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.6593546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Xtreme Gaming16c4,064$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.7265625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Team Resilience53c3,864$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.933453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Resilience53c3,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.1350850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Resilience57c3,668$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.9436343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Team Resilience59c3,600$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.0237655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Resilience66c3,503$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.2333867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Resilience59c3,461$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.5825446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Resilience52c3,317$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.8961456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed Team Resilience59c3,316$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.079122%20 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Resilience53c3,254$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.6216641%68 W · 98 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bc1…c168backed Xtreme Gaming47c3,075$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.252429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Xtreme Gaming48c3,009$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.2795342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed Xtreme Gaming48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44014136.9%52 W · 89 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c5b…26e2backed Xtreme Gaming37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1105046%23 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe45d…230dbacked Team Resilience70c2,887$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.032055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Xtreme Gaming45c2,800$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9910540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Resilience71c2,612$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.1335960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203b…46e1backed Team Resilience46c2,200$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1882669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+60.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Resilience47c2,148$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.4945139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Team Resilience61c2,098$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.6430357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Xtreme Gaming47c2,013$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.4129352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…a8a1backed Xtreme Gaming44c2,010$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.392330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Xtreme Gaming48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96036547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Resilience48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04056542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f1…5ecfbacked Team Resilience45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1006642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Xtreme Gaming43c1,977$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.134442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Resilience66c1,871$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.0618446.7%86 W · 98 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x266e…90f3backed Team Resilience64c1,776$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.449968.7%68 W · 31 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f6a…599abacked Team Resilience63c1,776$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.89061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Resilience58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1419456.2%109 W · 85 L+13.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Team Resilience57c1,688$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.966744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Resilience53c1,597$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.7368649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Resilience57c1,551$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.036851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd7…fbc9backed Team Resilience66c1,517$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.522955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66a1…6243backed Team Resilience64c1,500$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.386478.1%50 W · 14 L+11.1wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Resilience65c1,395$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.238458.3%49 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x068c…bce7backed Team Resilience52c1,393$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.746241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Resilience54c1,322$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.1212263.1%77 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…130ebacked Team Resilience68c1,317$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.156349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked Xtreme Gaming52c1,294$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.887142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked Xtreme Gaming39c1,203$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.6328251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Resilience53c1,200$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56479859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked Xtreme Gaming44c1,200$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.7824942.6%106 W · 143 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e23…1c3dbacked Team Resilience67c1,193$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.4911254.5%61 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Team Resilience67c1,161$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.997770.1%54 W · 23 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Resilience63c1,101$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.4910075%75 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Resilience46c1,073$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.5212350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Xtreme Gaming47c1,028$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.0718745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Team Resilience48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52013258.3%77 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabc3…f82dbacked Team Resilience70c1,000$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.935373.6%39 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Xtreme Gaming43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.999556.8%54 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Resilience62c930.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.6610245.1%46 W · 56 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed Team Resilience64c929.21$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.2118660.8%113 W · 73 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Resilience53c924.68$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.2789749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Team Resilience60c914.29$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.5323561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming18c881.71$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.151,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfde4…6453backed Team Resilience56c880.68$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.35250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed Team Resilience50c868$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43428347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe92…4215backed Xtreme Gaming46c862.46$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.941926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe7…121bbacked Team Resilience55c839.99$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd592…9618backed Xtreme Gaming37c828.92$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.79636.5%35 W · 61 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Team Resilience58c812.35$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.2248057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Resilience54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36849455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Resilience62c799.01$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.6721558.6%126 W · 89 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ef…e2d1backed Team Resilience55c778$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.12842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.