Fifa International · resolved market
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13b799f80e8507a1f0cf85d25036abffced12da3a0261cd619674f453e8a779a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 8c | 3,384$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…3a0ebacked No | 79c | 1,595$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 8c | 1,073$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…0053backed Yes | 15c | 968.13$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed Yes | 9c | 742.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Yes | 11c | 701.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 50c | 595.34$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.77 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…9060backed Yes | 8c | 544.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…ffc1backed Yes | 15c | 524.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…f2bebacked Yes | 59c | 515.65$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 34c | 504.81$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.79 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 10c | 479.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…d9f9backed Yes | 45c | 446$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 59c | 411.27$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.69 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 8c | 410.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 19c | 400.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 45c | 400$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes | 39c | 399.46$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…b68cbacked Yes | 5c | 383.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 383$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 12c | 378$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed No | 55c | 375.94$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed Yes | 23c | 370$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 54c | 306.11$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…6177backed Yes | 66c | 303.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a54…6822backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…ba85backed Yes | 7c | 272.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -78%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 31c | 258.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 254.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No | 35c | 244.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.77 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…7737backed Yes | 6c | 240.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +724.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…748cbacked No | 42c | 237.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 14c | 231.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 10c | 224$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 50c | 221.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…47c5backed No | 39c | 218.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 11c | 213.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 207.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 35c | 197.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…fd49backed Yes | 6c | 176.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 285 | 33%94 W · 191 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…4a1dbacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…6432backed No | 35c | 163.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed No | 62c | 155.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…86cfbacked No | 45c | 146.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 54c | 145.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cf…6fd8backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 23c | 135.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 61c | 135$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…cf75backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…a8f0backed No | 40c | 123.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4f…8fe8backed Yes | 39c | 122.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 65c | 121$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 10c | 112.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 13c | 103.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 32c | 102.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…9842backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…6710backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb33…15cbbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fc…0e07backed Yes | 34c | 91.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27d…8b94backed Yes | 55c | 89.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1381…2388backed Yes | 68c | 86.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 21c | 85.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…c45ebacked Yes | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ef…04d4backed Yes | 62c | 81.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…a7b0backed No | 62c | 80.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 21c | 79.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…e12abacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…315bbacked No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…4aa9backed No | 60c | 71.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 66c | 66.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…140abacked No | 63c | 66.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…8fd5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…bf77backed No | 60c | 61.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…f2fabacked No | 38c | 52.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked No | 66c | 50.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…eeacbacked No | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes | 60c | 47.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed Yes | 33c | 47.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02de…b1f9backed Yes | 34c | 45.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Yes | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 25c | 40.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 52c | 40.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +347.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked No | 40c | 37.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…72a0backed Yes | 59c | 33.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…a46cbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb28…3694backed Yes | 38c | 30.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8647…d870backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Yes | 52c | 28.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac2d…a9c4backed No | 44c | 28.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…defcbacked Yes | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 61c | 26.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…d6d2backed Yes | 50c | 25.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e2…7784backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.