World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olise

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2472eb7ce33027f59fbbcad45bad81bdb70061bedccc66ef8dd73efc3c34bd89

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Dembeleof Dembele, Olise
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $19,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,178 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a67…df6fbacked Olise	36c	2,934$1,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.54	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Dembele	49c	2,606$1,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,342.03	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb673…329abacked Olise	2c	1,748$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	31cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Olise	7c	854.72$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.56	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Olise	2c	784.95$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Olise	2c	672.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5b…576fbacked Olise	6c	621.18$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.79	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Olise	51c	613.89$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.55	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Olise	56c	557.6$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.26	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Olise	3c	554.94$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.33	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77c…f2bebacked Olise	23c	455.41$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Olise	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Olise	5c	283.3$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Dembele	39c	272.34$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.37	95	55.8%53 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Olise	5c	255$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Olise	37c	200$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.95	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaed5…f666backed Olise	53c	171$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.63	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Olise	50c	164.67$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.34	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Olise	53c	157.49$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.61	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Dembele	51c	140.6$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.52	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Olise	60c	140.55$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.06	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Dembele	42c	137$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.46	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Olise	35c	126.62$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.7	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Olise	49c	116.22$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.95	89	34.8%31 W · 58 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Olise	49c	102.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.32	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked Olise	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47f7…0312backed Olise	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Dembele	54c	90.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.76	277	29.2%81 W · 196 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Dembele	49c	90$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.2	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf75…262fbacked Olise	58c	80$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked Olise	23c	57.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Dembele	45c	55.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.17	107	40.2%43 W · 64 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Dembele	44c	55$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.8	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd60…e503backed Olise	60c	53.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Olise	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	166	46.4%77 W · 89 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Dembele	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe667…55a7backed Olise	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0855…ae26backed Olise	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9998…e858backed Olise	41c	44$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+347.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed Dembele	44c	40.7$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.79	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…c73bbacked Olise	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	196	41.8%82 W · 114 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Dembele	57c	39.98$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.06	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Olise	54c	39.32$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.23	83	18.1%15 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86da…39f5backed Olise	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb5b…0037backed Olise	63c	32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdc…a595backed Olise	54c	29.95$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.17	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Dembele	39c	26.47$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.21	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee4c…9278backed Dembele	52c	25.25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.18	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Dembele	52c	25.25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.18	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…8967backed Dembele	52c	20.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.77	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed Olise	59c	17.24$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.13	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

World Cup Goals H2H: Dembele vs. Olise

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market