Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f19ab76e1f8099cef497d53edd5c29764d2a8f4867c6635622431f67048563a

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $13,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,462 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	8c	747.75$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.26	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	42c	686.24$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.04	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	12c	577.45$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.73	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	45c	514.6$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.48	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	80c	495.02$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.49	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f8…81bdbacked Yes	21c	485.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	66c	479.98$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.99	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	41c	376.71$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.35	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb673…329abacked Yes	34c	362.5$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.5	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	31cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	11c	333.43$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.68	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	62c	323.48$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.81	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes	24c	260$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.62	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed No	70c	217.71$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.35	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	43c	212.06$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.04	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed Yes	13c	206.01$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.23	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	10c	189.29$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.16	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…6a8ebacked Yes	11c	181.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.65	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	15cpaid	+159%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2c0…2127backed Yes	64c	155.46$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	19c	155.02$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.21	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	12c	140.73$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.46	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	37c	113.46$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.65	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ee…a423backed Yes	46c	108.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	85	25.9%22 W · 63 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd399…3f46backed No	33c	100$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	78c	95.02$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.02	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	61c	84$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.48	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No	23c	78.63$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.55	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No	37c	77.73$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.02	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	46c	62$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.46	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	57c	62$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.42	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked No	59c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No	40c	60$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No	35c	57.14$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.14	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes	63c	55.98$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.27	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	50c	55$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.7	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	67c	52.35$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.13	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No	37c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47f7…0312backed Yes	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	52c	49$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.34	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a5b…acf6backed Yes	36c	44.75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No	56c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-15.0wins	-0.13per pick	62cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	60c	34.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	277	29.2%81 W · 196 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…80c0backed No	63c	31.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	53	86.8%46 W · 7 L	+9.6wins	+0.18per pick	69cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc436…76c9backed No	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked No	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked No	36c	29.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.19	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	62c	28.47$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.65	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	64c	27.78$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.78	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed Yes	61c	26.52$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.24	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	63c	24.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.38	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c88…187bbacked Yes	70c	21.58$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb7a…f448backed Yes	58c	21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x211b…1872backed Yes	65c	20.62$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e3…b6d0backed Yes	70c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-12.2wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x29ef…dddabacked No	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-9.0wins	-0.25per pick	64cpaid	-35%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x508f…8a22backed Yes	66c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.21per pick	48cpaid	+69.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ca…8723backed Yes	64c	15.63$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes	71c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	85	42.4%36 W · 49 L	-11.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-25%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event